Sunday Night Stats – King County

When I started Sunday Night Stats, I didn’t think this through as to what would happen when I ran into volumes that exceeded 10,000 units.  I can’t run stats for volumes over 10,000.  9,193 condos sold in 2007.  Inventory would have to exceed last year’s total sales for us to run into difficulty, and I don’t expect that to happen.  I also don’t expect sales to exceed last year’s, so let’s start with the condos tonight and add some relevant breakdowns.

Remember that “in escrow” prices are asking prices.  It’s easy to see why the properties in escrow are selling and why the ones for sale are not.  There’s a $20 per square foot difference overall.

King County Condos

For Sale – 3,774 – UP 68 – DOM 56 – median price $328,000 – MPPSF $323

1 bedroom condo – 1,056 – DOM 56 – median price $294,970 – MPPSF – $419

2 bedroom condo – 1,988 – DOM 58 – median price $340,000 – MPPSF – $312

In Escrow – 946 – UP 75 – DOM 43 – median price $299,950 – MPPSF $303

1 bedroom condo – 274 – DOM 31 – median price $269,500 – MPPSF – $394

2 bedroom condo – 472 – DOM 45 – median price $305,000 – MPPSF – $285

Sold YTD – 1,517 -UP 120 – DOM 49 – median price $284,000 – MPPSF – $290

1 bedroom condo – 418 – DOM 43 – median price $247,250 – MPPSF – $362

In 2007 – 2,676 – DOM 24 – median price $263,000 – MPPSF $386

2 bedroom condo – 787 – DOM 50 – median price $299,000 – MPPSF – $289

In 2007 – 4,742 – DOM 29 – median price $298,000 – MPPSF – $288 

King County Residential

To avoid any segment exceeding 10,000 for the rest of the year, I am breaking these down into three age categories, and then combining them at the end and carrying out the data out for any segment with 10,000 or less units. 

Built before 1970:

For Sale 3,624 – DOM 50 – median price $450,000 – MPPSF $248

In Escrow 1,097 – DOM 36 – median price $410,000 – MPPSF $234

Sold YTD 1,831 – DOM 43 – median price $410,000 – MPPSF $235

In 2007 – 9,651 – DOM 26 – median price $429,000 – MPPSF 246.

NOTE: The median asking price of the sold properties was $419,950.  So if the properties in escrow have the same relationship of sold price to asking price, expect to see prices down more than the $246 per square foot of 2007 to the $235 of closed year to date.  The properties on market are asking slightly higher than the price per square foot of last year in this age range, but are not getting it.

Built from 1971 to 1999:

For Sale 3,146 – DOM 53 – median price $535,000 – MPPSF $228

In Escrow 688 – DOM 51 – median price $439,000 – MPPSF $209

Sold YTD 1,207 – DOM – 56 – median price $427,000 – MPPSF $206

In 2007 – 6,778 – DOM 37 – median price $460,850 – MPPSF $220

Again, properties for sale are asking more than the $220 PSF that they sold for last year and getting less.  The asking price of properties sold year to date was $438,000.  So unlike the prior to 1970 category, the properties in escrow may end up at the same median price per square foot as the YTD closed sales.

Built 2000 or later:

For Sale 4,068 – DOM 66 – median price $594,950 – MPPSF $217

In Escrow 1,046 – DOM 55 – median price $479,000 – MPPSF $197

Sold YTD – 1,608 – DOM 59 – median price $475,043 – MPPSF $206

In 2007 –  6,956 – DOM 49 – median price $500,000 – MPPSF $207

The asking prices of the properties closed YTD was $484,995.  So those properties in escrow look pretty dismal both as to price AND price per square foot.

Total Residential Properties:

For Sale 10,828 – UP 209

In Escrow 2,831 – UP 191 – DOM 45 – median price $445,550 – MPPSF $214

Closed YTD 4,646 – UP 316 – DOM 52 – median price $438,163 – MPPSF $219

Median asking price of closed properties was $448,250.  1,627 of those sold in 30 days at 99% of asking price. 

Stats not compiled or published by NWMLS. (Required disclosure)

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About ARDELL

ARDELL is a Managing Broker with Better Properties METRO King County. ARDELL was named one of the Most Influential Real Estate Bloggers in the U.S. by Inman News and has 33+ years experience in Real Estate up and down both Coasts, representing both buyers and sellers of homes in Seattle and on The Eastside. email: ardelld@gmail.com cell: 206-910-1000

8 thoughts on “Sunday Night Stats – King County

  1. Last years KC residential median for April was $465k. If the median for April this year is close to your YTD number it could signal a YoY drop of more than 5%. Well, we will know for sure next week.
    Again, thanks for running the stats!

  2. Nice, Ardell.

    Though break-downs by vintage are probably easy as well moderately useful, perhaps a different stratification would be more useful.

    For instance, I am interested in the trends in “The Boonies” vs. trends in the “The Coveted”. Anecdotally, it seems like in-city may be holding up better, but it isn’t really clear of that’s true.

    So maybe create a category including North of Madison to 85th St. in Seattle and your favorite burbs on the East-Side (Kirkland, Redmond, Bellevue) and maybe LFP and Mercer Is. and compare it to the rest of KC?

    Just a thought, as long as you have to stratify anyway.

  3. Thanks guys.

    I definitely need some suggestions since I can’t do stats over 10,000. Special requests welcome!

    I try to fit that in Biliruben before Sunday Night. I’m swamped and I want to write a piece on the new HOA/Condo law. But I’ll get to it ASAP.

    I was up until 3 in the morning last night doing these stats, and I’m getting properties ready for market. We need some good weather round here!!!! I’m looking at storm clouds and the wind is whipping up as I type.

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