About ARDELL

ARDELL is a Managing Broker with Better Properties METRO King County. ARDELL was named one of the Most Influential Real Estate Bloggers in the U.S. by Inman News and has 34+ years experience in Real Estate up and down both Coasts, representing both buyers and sellers of homes in Seattle and on The Eastside. email: ardelld@gmail.com cell: 206-910-1000

Friday Night at Crossroads Shopping Center

4taydougwebI received an email announcing that The Taylor Jay and Doug Bright Combo are “performing hot jazz standards from swingers like Louis Armstrong, The Inkspots, Billie Holiday, Bonnie Guitar, and many others.”

Looks like Friday night from 7:30 to 10:00. I expect it’s free, as there is no info regarding price or tickets and likely in the open food court area. I don’t know them, but I like that kind of music, so I thought I’d throw it up here as a public announcement of a local, apparently free, event.

Sunday Night Stats – King County

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King County Residential Sales

Active/For Sale – 9,779- UP 148 – median price $525,000- no change

In Escrow – 2,712- UP 11 – median price $444,000 – DOWN $4,000

Closed YTD – 2,883 – UP 332 – median price $437,500 – UP $1,500

King Conty Condo Sales

Active/For Sale – 3,435 – DOWN 6 – median price $324,950 – no change

In Escrow – 902 – UP 5 – median price $299,950 – no change (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 958- UP 111- median price $285,000 – no change

Allowing for late postings I went back to March 15th to track volume changes YOY.
Single family home closings are down 33% and condo closings are down 40%.

“Statistics not compiled or published by NWMLS.

3 Steps to Understanding Real Estate Commissions

The number one thing that everyone can do to clear up the misunderstandings about “The Real Estate Commission” is to

1) STOP looking at the number as ONE commission. This is true for everyone, including agents and brokers.

To do this everyone needs to understand that agents represent people, they do not SELL anything. There is one fee for the person who represents the seller and there is another fee for the person who represents the buyer. STOP adding those together as if they are both all about the seller. They are NOT all about the seller. The seller includes BOTH in the asking price so that both can be financed inside the transaction by the lender. But they are still two separate fees, one for the person who represents the seller and one for the person who represents the buyer. They may or may not be equal amounts.

When a seller puts their home on the market for sale they decide whether or not to hire someone to represent THEM in the sale of their home. They negotiate that commission, usually somewhere between 0 and 3%, with THEIR agent, The Listing Agent aka The Agent for the Seller.

When a seller puts their home on the market they ALSO “set aside” a commission that will be paid to the agent who represents the buyer. Usually 0 to 3% and not necessarily the same fee as the one they are agreeing to pay to their agent, the Listing Agent. Why do sellers set aside an amount to be paid to someone else’s agent who doesn’t represent the seller at all? So that they can be in the MLS “pool” of homes for sale and so that ALL commissions to be paid at the end are INCLUDED in the asking price for financing purposes.

2) Price of home and commission issues DO have a direct relationship.

Pretend you are selling your home right now, whether or not you own a home. Let’s say the homes in your neighborhood generally sell for $500,000 and there are 25 homes just like yours on the market. You might say, I would price my home at $470,000 to beat everyone on price, if I didn’t have to pay any commissions. You might say, I would price my home at $480,000 if I could cut the commission from $30,000 to $10,000. So price of home and commissions to be paid DO have a direct relationship to one another.

The seller may want to save his 0 to 3% by not listing with an agent. The buyer may also want to save their 0 to 3% by not having an agent. By treating the commission as two separate fees from the time the asking price is set, everyone is free to either have representation or not and save accordingly.

The seller should NOT benefit if the buyer chooses to not be represented IF the seller intended to pay a buyer agent at the time the home was priced. If the seller “set aside” 0 to 3% within the original asking price for the buyer to use to pay for their representation, then the seller should not simply keep it if the buyer is not represented, nor should the listing agent just keep it “because they can”.

The only reason the seller agrees to pay the listing brokerage BOTH fees, is because the buyer and the buyer agent are unknown entities at the time the home is priced. Consequently the seller is agreeing to pay the buyer agent fee through the listing agent’s company and the listing company should not simply keep it, but legally the way the contract is currently worded, they can. Someone should change that.

3) The commission as stated at the beginning is not always the commission paid at the end.

Often the buyer and seller are just a bit apart a few times in the transaction.

Sometimes it is at time of offer. Let’s say the Asking Price is $519,000 and the buyer offers $490,000 and the Seller won’t go lower than $510,000 and the buyer won’t go higher than $500,000. They can both be unsuccessful and walk away or the agents, if their commissions were set high enough at the beginning, may share the difference equally creating a positive outcome for both the buyer and the seller.

Sometimes it is at the time of the home inspection. The buyer and seller negotiated OK at the outset, but now there are $7,000 of repairs and the Seller will only give $3,000 toward them and the buyer wants them all done. Again, if the commissions were set high enough at the beginning and the agents did not have to contribute anything or too much at the original price negotiation, the agents may split the difference and the transaction will proceed to close.

Sometimes the costs go sideways at the end. Let’s say the seller agreed to pay $5,000 of the buyer’s closing costs, but the costs are $6,500. The seller won’t pay any more than the $5,000 agreed and the buyer just doesn’t have it. Again, the agents can step in to cause the transaction to close by splitting the amount, or one or the other can pay the whole thing.

This is one of the reasons that people say commissions are 6% but NAR says in final calculations they come out to 5.1% on average. Without any budge room, often the transaction fails as agents who gave at the beginning, will not give again at the normal timeframes in the transaction where budge room is needed. Perhaps this “budge room” should be a set aside that goes back to the seller or the buyer in the event that money is not needed. That may create a better scenario than simply cutting things to the bone up front and leaving everyone without a satisfactory recourse as issues arise while the property is in escrow. Just a thought.

Postscript: In comment #44 of Gordon’s Post, Q-Diddy asked, “Tim & Ardell-Since I’m obviously in the wrong, If I’m the Seller what are the “traditional

Fed Rate Cuts

This from CNN Money for March 18, 2008: “The U.S. central bank cut key interest rate (federal funds rate) by 3/4 of a percentage point to 2.25%.”…”In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 75-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 2-1/2 percent

Should you buy before you sell?

moving day book 1

NO!

There’s the short answer. Now for the longer version.

I have a severely handicapped sister who lives at home with my Mom. There was no way we could show the property until Mindy and my Mom were moved to their new home. The new house was purchased all cash prior to the sale of their former home. If we had to do it all over again, it would be done the same way. Buy first…move in…then sell.

But very few people have the money to purchase their new home before selling their current home. Even fewer people do not need to know for sure how much their current home will sell for, before deciding how much to spend on their new home. Getting an appraisal on your current home is not an assurance that you will actually sell your home for that amount. Still, for some people, buying first if they can well afford it, will help them to get top dollar for their current home, especially if they have children, pets, or as in my Mom’s case, a severely handicapped family member.

The most common way that people move to their new home before selling their current home is via a “bridge” loan. I once bought a home that had tons of wallpaper and I wanted to strip the wallpaper before I moved in. I used a bridge loan to close on the new house before I had the money from my then current home. I did not take out the “bridge” loan until my home was in contract and past the inspection phase and all contingencies. I then used a bridge loan for two weeks so I could strip the wallpaper and move in a bit more leisurely. I had three small children at the time and I was moving to a larger home in the same neighborhood. All went well and the bridge loan was paid off when my home closed after we were all moved in to the new home.

The main purpose of this post is to tell you that “bridge loans” are NOT easy to come by these days.

I hear a lot of talk about how much the mortgage industry is “tightening” and how much it is “changing”. The reality is…it is just going back to the way it always was.

Bridge Loans are for people who are in contract on their current home and who want to avoid the hectic moving after closing and within 24 to 48 hours. They are not to lock in a price that has not been tested on the current home. Very few lenders want to take the risk of not being in first position by extending financing based on what you THINK your home will sell for these days.

If your lender told you you could buy before you sell via a “bridge loan”, CHECK AGAIN! They may have changed their mind.

Sunday Night Stats

King County Residential Sales

Active/For Sale – 9631- UP 195 – median price $525,000- UP $950

In Escrow – 2701- UP 73 – median price $449,000 – no change

Closed YTD – 2551- UP 271 – median price $436,000 – UP $1,000

King Conty Condo Sales

Active/For Sale – 3,441 – UP 75 – median price $324,950 – UP 100

In Escrow – 897 – UP 29 – median price $299,950- DOWN $14,500 (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 847 – UP 85 – median price $285,000 – UP $5,000

Median SFH Home Prices of Property Currently In Escrow

$644,950 Bellevue
$484,000 Bothell (King County)
$654,500 Issaquah
$508,950 Kenmore
$684,000 Kirkland
$685,940 Redmond
$367,475 Shoreline

For Seattle, SFH includes townhomes

$479,950 98103
$459,000 98107
$577,000 98115
$475,500 98117

“Statistics not compiled or published by NWMLS.

Laying Bamboo or Wood Floor on the Diagonal

diagonal wood floorOne of the questions Kim and I are asked most often is which way to lay the bamboo or wood floors. Horizontal? Vertical?

Often the better and best choice is on the diagonal. However I am told this method requires a higher level of craftmanship and produces a larger amount of product waste.

If the home is deep and narrow, you like want to go with horizontal. If the home is wide and shallow in depth, you like want to use vertical. Same goes if you are just doing one room. The room will feel even more long and narrow if you place the wood in a vertical position vs. a horizontal layout.

But don’t overlook that third answer, on the diagonal, particularly in smaller homes.

MB Confidential – Should he come out of the closet?

Back in July I wrote this post about my favorite real estate blog(s) not written by people inside the real estate industry.

Manhattan Beach Confidential is written by an anonymous author whom I know as MB Watcher. He was featured in an article written by The Easy Reader and is under a lot of pressure to come out of the closet.

My advice to him was Don’t Do It!!! Stay anonymous. They are just looking for whom to crucify. They’ve got the cross and nails hidden behind their backs. They’ve got the noose all ready over in The Tree Section. They want to know who you are so they can find the chink in your armor. Telling them who you are would be revealing your Achilles’ Heal…we all have one.

I hope to be meeting him in person in the next month or so, and he has agreed to do that without wearing a bag over his head 🙂 Though I have suggested that he do wear a bag over his head and do not want to know his real name. It may be against the code of ethics for me not to tell the Realtors who he is, if I know his name.

What do you think? Should MB Watcher come out of the closet? Is the info he provides less valuable if you don’t know who he is? I don’t think agents are allowed to be anonymous for many reasons. But just a guy writing about real estate? Can he stay a well informed unknown?

Sunday Night Stats – King County

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King County Residential Sales

Active/For Sale – 9,436 – UP 260 – median price $524,050 – UP $450

In Escrow – 2,628 – UP 44 – median price $449,000 – Down $950 (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 2,280 – UP 338 – median price $435,000 – UP $462

King Conty Condo Sales

Active/For Sale – 3,366 – UP 105 – median price $324,850 – DOWN $4,050

In Escrow – 868 – no change – median price $314,450 – UP $5,950 (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 762 – UP 104 – median price $280,000 – UP $1,050

Updated closings for February 2008

Adding late postings

Condos # of sales 394 for Feb. 2008 vs. 635 in Feb. 2007 – DOWN 38%
Residential # of sales 1,171 for Feb. 2008 vs. 1,640 in Feb. 2007 – DOWN 28.5%

Residential priced under $400,000
2,902 on market vs. 3,183 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $600,000
5,753 on market vs. 5,798 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $800,000
7,332 on market vs. 6,812 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $1,000,000
8,090 on market vs. 7,231 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $2,000,000
9,059 for sale vs. 7,636 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $300,000
1,512 for sale vs. 1,658 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $500,000
2,697 on market vs. 2,677 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $800,000
3,086 on market vs 2,890 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $1.5 million
3,277 on market vs. 2,929 sold in the last six months

“Statistics not compiled or published by NWMLS.

Tim Ellis of Seattle Bubble on 710 KIRO

I’m listening to Tim Ellis of Seattle Bubble on the Dave Ross show on 710 KIRO with David Goldstein sitting in for Dave Ross.

There’s a link to the show in this post and it is well worth the time to listen.

Tim did a fabulous job and I highly recommend that you listen to “the voice” of Seattle Bubble’s founder in this radio program.

I did a quick check while listening to the program regarding the conversation in the latter part of the show regarding Eastside and Seattle. My stats support Tim’s statement that Seattle Downtown and within City Limits North of Downtown are doing better than the Eastside. Kirkland, Bellevue Redmond median price being up from $600,000 to $610,000 while North Seattle was up from $533,000 to $549,000 for the same six month period. Days on market Eastside being up from 36 days to 46 days vs. North Seattle being up from 26 days to 30 days. Number of homes sold down 22% in North Seattle vs down 26% on the Eastside.

While I am not seeing prices down in those samplings, I am seeing short sales that are selling for less than the owner paid, and not just for less than the amount owed. So the number of short sales in the mix in any neighborhood will continue to impact area pricing.

There is a significant increase in the number of sales that are contingent on the sale of another house. More and more people are including a house sale contingency with their offer to purchase. It is wise not to depend on a certain sale price when buying, only to find that your best hope is not going to pan out as you had thought it would.

Generally speaking the numbers are still pretty strong as to price, and so I’m not seeing the same price picture as Tim seems to be seeing. I agree with Tim that you are not likely going to see owners running into the assessor’s office to prove their home is worth less anytime soon.

In any event, take the time to listen to the radio program and hear the voice of Seattle Bubble. If you liked him before…you’ll like him even more. If you didn’t like him before…I’m sure you will find that your perception was not reality. He doesn’t sound ANYTHING like Chicken Little and he offers a well reasoned perspective.