Twitter: Is it for Twits or Twitteratti?

A week ago, I decided to finally sign up for a Twitter account and probably became the last person in Seattle to join. I’m still trying to figure out if it’s a revolutionary new communication medium or merely the CB radio of the early 21st century (to be honest, I haven’t yet decided what Twitter is yet). I think one MSNBC writer summed it up nicely quite nicely, when she stated Twitter is the Snuggie of social networking. I’m not sure if Twitter is truly useful, but there is no denying it’s the hot thing at the moment.

After all, if the Washington State Department of Transportation has multiple twitter account to broadcast updates on mountain passes and Seattle area traffic events. Many of the local TV news networks & anchors have twitter accounts (Jenni Hogan, Bill Wixey, Jesse Jones, & KOMO news are all there). If that wasn’t enough chatter, even the U.S. President is on Twitter (although he doesn’t tweet now that he’s a President instead of a candidate). Heck, even Senator John McCain is on Twitter. I think Twitter hype hit all time this week, when Google’s CEO declared Twitter A ‘Poor Man’s Email System‘ and the geeky gurus in Silicon Alley are ready to anoint Twitter the new Google killer. Ironically, Twitter has proven itself as a great tool for breaking news about gmail outages and down time.

It’s all very interesting, but is it useful? Well, since I’ve been on Twitter, I’ve discovered lots of interesting blog posts & new articles on topics of interest. I’ve learned that tinyurl.com is bloated compared to tr.im. I’ve even played with the Twitter APIs and tweeted myself. But, I’m still perplexed on what the best way of using this new social networking tool in my arsenal?

For example, would potential home buyers / sellers prefer to get updates on market changes via Tweets instead of e-mail messages, text messages, or RSS feeds? If so, should you be sending direct messages to your clients? (which seems like a poor man’s e-mail system to me). I suppose one could update their status, but if one updates their status every 10 minutes every time a new listing hits the market, one’s followers would probably get follower fatigue.

Suppose you have multiple clients, and that they all want the same information, should you create an account that they all follow instead of direct messages to each? What if you multiple clients that want different information, should you create multiple Twitter accounts, each of which publishes a certain information type (say homes in Redmond, Medina mansions, or condos in Renton)?

Of course, if that becomes popular then Twitter account names may become as valuable and as scarce as internet domain names are today? (BTW – SeattleHomes is already taken, although it doesn’t have any followers yet). Perhaps, everybody will use url shortening services like is.gd instead of domain names, SEO & names/brands of the actual twitter account won’t matter?

I’m not sure I’ll shake my fist at Twitter, like Jon Stewart did but I can’t help but wonder if micro-blogging, will beget a generation of people who can only communicate in phrases of 140 characters or less. I’m already growing nostalgic for thoughtful articles written by people in the news industry. Maybe I just need to read more NikNik & Tyr until I get it?

Perhaps, Twitter is best used to convey the daily minutiae our digital lives to interested parties and shouldn’t be taken seriously? In any event, I’m enjoying my time tweeting (or is it twittering?) like everybody else apparently is.

Homebuyer Credit – Simplified

Pretty simple stuff. For most people it’s just A,B,C + 1,2,3
A. Address of New Home
B. Date you bought it
C. IF claiming 2009 purchase on this 2008 form, check here
+
1. Enter $7,500 or $8,000 unless married filing separately
2. Enter modified adjusted gross income
3. If 2 is not more than $75,000 ($150,000 if filing jointly), skip to line 6 and put amount on line 1 on line 6.  Ta-dah!
You can get Form 5405 and Instructions here:
and it looks like this:

Form 5405 First-Time Homebuyer Credit

Dow dips below 7,000

It’s an historic event that takes us back to 1997.  Below is a chart showing the history of the DJIA from 1929 to present, courtesy of msn money central. the first thing I look at every morning when I wake up.

When I started working in 1972, the Dow was at about 950.  When I switched to real estate in 1990, the Dow was just under 3,000.  It’s interesting to read some of the rationalizations of the 2002 low point. 

Dow Jones Industrial Average History

Dow Jones Industrial Average History

Dow Jones Industrial Average 10 year

Dow Jones Industrial Average 10 year

 

“The ‘game changer’ will be the housing market, and whether (or not) it can stablilize”

How to Find Short Sales in the MLS

It’s important for real estate agents to track the percentage of listings where the homeowner is in financial distress as well as REOs (real estate owned), compared to the overall number of listings in a given market area. When short sales, pre-foreclosures, and bank-owned property make up a larger percentage of the overall available number of homes for sale, this has a downward effect on home values in that area. Yes, neighbordhood to neighborhood there “may” not be any short sales or bank-owned listings…today.  However, we are on an upward trend with foreclosures and watching what’s ahead can help home sellers make good decisions about how to choose a more agressive listing price if they are truly motivated to sell. We’ve done some research in the past on this. Galen wrote a post about search terms that work on Estately.  A few months ago I taught a Short Sale class in Snohomish County and an agent remarked that he had a buyer in a specific price range, I believe it was between $200K and $250K and he was looking for home in Everett, North to Marysville. He said ALL the listings in that price range and area were short sales with only one exception. Yikes! More short sales and bank-owned REOs mean more downward pressure on home values as the short sales that don’t close turn in to REOs and banks bring more and more REOs on the market. At this time, searching for short sales is not an option on the public-side MLS (Multiple Listing Service) per rule. Perhaps this is because the commission is paid by the seller and many believe it’s not in the sellers best interest to disclose the short sale status because that may draw low-ball offers. Now that we’re in a buyer’s market, perhaps home sellers and voting members of the MLS rules board would see that it’s in everyone’s best interest to attract the right kind of buyer. Investors have poured into California scooping up low end REOs because the sales price is low enough to allow for the home to be rented for enough to cover the mortgage payment long term. At some point, when Seattle area prices are more in line with rents, investors will want to search for short sales and REOs here.   Until then, by doing keyword searches we can also keep track of possible “ghost inventory” (REOs being held off the market by the banks) making an appearance here in the Seattle market. 

Here are some possible short sale and REO search terms to use besides just “short sale” and “REO.”

foreclosure
preforeclosure
pre-foreclosure
short payoff
motivated seller
subject to lender approval
bank approval needed

bank owned
corporate seller
corporate owner
vacant
no repairs
fixer
instant equity

What search terms should we add to the list?

Sellers Leaving The Mess Behind

Cleaning up after yourself is in the contract…

Recently, there seems to be some confusion as to item number 5 of the NWMLS form 22D (optional clauses addendum to the purchase and sale agreement).  Maybe the sellers are deciding that the buyer already got a good deal and they shouldn’t leave the home in decent condition?  ARDELL recently mentioned that some sellers are feeling disenchanted with this market and as a result the houses are not being exhibited in their best light.  This is definitely happening and unfortunately is being carried forward to when the sale closes and home ownership is transferred.

Item #5 on the NWMLS Form 22D:

“Items Left By Seller.Any personal property, fixtures or other items remaining on the Property when possession is transferred to Buyer shall thereupon become the property of Buyer, and may be retained or disposed of as Buyer determines. However, Seller agrees to clean the interiors of any structures and remove all trash, debris, and rubbish on the Property prior to Buyer taking possession.“

Plainly stated: Take all your belongings and clean the property prior to handing over the keys. Clear enough? One would think, but what about when you line item #5 up to item #4 in the very same Form 22D and apply it to a seller who never had their home clean to begin with and had trash all over the place while the home was being shown?

Item #4 of 22D addresses the issue of “Property and Grounds Maintained

Sellers are “leaving money on the table”

If you have been out looking at homes for sale since the first of the year, you will clearly see that sellers are NOT all on the same page.

I deal primarily in property North and East of Downtown Seattle, so I do not speak for Tacoma, Renton, Auburn, Federal Way, Kent or South Seattle.  The lower priced single family homes I am seeing are in Kenmore, Bothell parts of Kirkland, Lake Forest Park , Shoreline and the lower part of Snohomish County.

I am seeing two groups of “seller thinking”:

1)  The first group of sellers are over-priced with meticulously maintained, clean, “updated” and sometimes staged homes. 

2) The second group of sellers have more realistic asking prices, but they are not even bothering to clean up the dishes in the sink for a showing.

Many of the sellers who are bothering to  clean and stage their homes, are also asking more for their homes than they should be in today’s market. By the time a seller gets to the price where they feel they are “giving the home away”, they don’t want to put any effort into its condition.  They are thinking that at THIS ridiculously low price (in their opinion) the buyer should “suck up” much, but that is NOT the case. 

It’s a buyer’s market, and buyers want it ALL.  They want a good price, a home they can move into without much work, AND they want a cleaner inspection at the end of the day than they expected in the higher priced hot market.

“Fair Market Value is the price at which neither party is exceedingly happy.”

There is always a lot of crying and whining in a Buyer’s Market. Sellers aren’t happy at the prices they are getting.  Buyers are walking away from the home inspection because there is a squeak in the floor, or because the bathtub needs some caulk.

Sellers, remember that people who are choosing to buy right now are very afraid of the future.  Pulling the trigger on a purchase is terrifying, even if they are getting “a screaming deal”.  The reality is that you have to do ALL the things you would be doing to get a great price.  Forking out money for professional staging may not be in the picture for many sellers, but do the best you can with what you have to work with.

1) Dirty homes with pet odors sell for less, always.  It doesn’t matter that you “reduced your price by 20% from peak”.  A dirty, smelly house is going to sell for less…in any market.

2) Stacking all of your belongings into the garage, because you don’t want to pay for storage in this economy, is not the way to go.  See if your friends can each take a portion of the items you want to store.  Better yet, get rid of things you know you won’t be moving with you when your home does sell. Not being able to go into the garage because it is filled to the brim with crap, is not going to help your home sell.

3) Thinking you are NOT going to address ANY items that come up in the home inspection, because you were pinned to the mat on sale price, makes NO sense.  Just because you accepted a lower price than you wanted, does not make the inspection phase any different. You can scream “AS-IS” all day long…that won’t keep a buyer in escrow if the home inspection reveals items that need to be addressed. Staying in escrow is just as important as getting into escrow. Refusing  to address minor repair items could cost you dearly in the long run, when you later sell your home for even less.

You have to work at least as hard, and sometimes even harder, in a difficult economy.  This is true of both workers generally, and sellers of homes. Getting less doesn’t cut you any slack in terms of the effort you must expend.

FHA – Is it “assumable”?

FHA – Whether you are an owner deciding whether to sell or refinance, or a buyer in today’s real estate market, talk with a lender about “assumable” provisions of the mortgage.

While no one can see into the future, we can see into the past.  I don’t think anyone will be surprised that we may be looking back on today, from some year in the future, at dramatically lower interest rates. Most are expecting interest rates to be 7% or more, a few years from now.  Most are expecting home prices to stay down and flat for some years to come.  That means the cost of selling will be hard to recoup, and finding a buyer for the home you are trying to sell will not improve greatly from where we are today.

IF the buyer of your home 3 or more years from now, can assume your lower interest rate mortgage of today, that will be a selling feature.  It happened before in the last recession, and it will happen again.  The buyer will still have to qualify.  The buyer will have to come up with the difference between the sale price and the loan they are assuming from you that has a lower interest rate (so don’t go overboard with downpayment on an FHA loan).

To the best of my knowledge, most if not all, conventional loans are NOT assumable.  Most, if not all, FHA and VA loans ARE assumable.  I’m sure Rhonda will chime in here and give us the scoop on that.

This weekend I was speaking with a young man who may be eligible to refinance his home and stay in it, though he is worried about possibly losing his job and having to sell in the next couple of years.  I told him to try converting to an FHA loan when he does his refinance, keep the LTV as low as possible, and make sure there is an assumable feature.

I am a real estate agent, and not a lender.  All I know is that if he tries to sell two years from now and interest rates are 7%, and he has an assumable mortgage at 5.5% or below, that could be of great help in a future market with more sellers than buyers.

Speak with an attorney about the potential downside of a “purchase money loan” vs. a refinance, in the event of future default, before refinancing an original purchase mortgage. More on that in one of my other posts of the day.

Northwest Flower & Garden Show is here in Seattle this weekend.

Spring is coming and this weekend is the 21st annual Northwest Flower & Garden Show at the Washington State Convention Center in Downtown Seattle.  The Theme this year is “Sustainable Spaces. Beautiful Places” and unfortunately since it was earlier announced that the NWF&GS is up for sale, this Beautiful Place may not be a Sustainable Space any longer. 
 
The Seattle Times reported in January about the Show closing for good after the last day of this years’ show on Sunday, Feb. 22, 2009 unless a buyer is found.  It may be unlikely that a buyer will be found given the current economic conditions, so take advantage now, and see the show this weekend.  For more on the Northwest Flower and Garden Show which opened Wednesday, Feb. 18th and runs through Sunday Feb. 22nd, check out the official blog, Flora’s Blog.
 
At the NW Flwower & Garden Show you can see so many ideas for your home and patio at the Display Gardens, shop for fun and practical garden things at the three marketplaces, and learn at the many, many lectures scheduled through out the entire run of the show.
 
I was given the opportunity (Thanks NWF&GS!) to attend the media preview tour on Tuesday, the day before the show officially opened.  I planned on using my Flipvideo camera for the first time to do a video tour and taped a 20 minuet video.  Now days later after a lot of technical issues,  I have found out the file size is too large to post LOL!
So I am posting some photos instead…enjoy!

Notes from WAMP’s Meeting on Home Valuation Code of Conduct

This morning I attended  Washington Association of Mortgage Professionals (WAMB) meeting in Bellevue to learn more about the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) which will dramatically impact conventional appraisals.   It was a somber room of fellow mortgage brokers and correspondent lenders along with the panel of various representatives from the industry.  

In a nutshell, mortgage originators (if paid commission) will no longer have contact with appraisers for conventional mortgages.  Appraisals will be ordered via an appraisal management company–oddly similar to what Washington Mutual used before New York  Attorney General Cuomo investigated.   Although this is effective for loans delivered to Fannie/Freddie on May 1, 2009 or later, lenders will adopt the Code well in advance in order to be able to deliver compliant loans.

Lisa Goldsmith from Amtrust Bank discussed how they’re going to comply with HVCC beginning around April.  Amtrust will treat mortgage brokers and correspondent lenders the same.  

  • When the loan is registered with Amtrust, they will provide an AVM (an unreliable estimation of value IMO).  This is the only chance the mortgage originator has to decide whether or not they should proceed with the appraisal order.
  • The order is placed with an Appraisal Management Company (AMC).
  • A copy of the appraisal is sent to both the borrower and the mortgage originator.

The mortgage broker will have no idea who the appraiser is until the appraisal is delivered.  Correspondent lenders may be able to order appraisals as long as they meet the HVCC (and I’m sure they’re a huge risk of buy-backs if correspondents opt for this route).   In fact, mortgage originators (if paid commission) may not communicate with the appraiser.  

A big issue is portability of the appraisal.   If for some reason, a broker starts with a lender, like Amtrust, and then decides during the process they want to switch to another lender, Amtrust holds the appraisal.  The consumer has all ready shelled out $400-$500 to one lender.  It will be up to Amtrust to release the appraisal (if this is even acceptable) or another appraisal may need to be issued if the loan is switched.  The power is not with the consumer and it’s not with the mortgage broker.

Quality is a huge concern as well.  One mortgage originator stated that he currently has an issue with an appraisal that was provided via an AMC for a waterfront single family residence.  What he received was an appraisal with 6 comparable properties–4 of them were condos!    Second appraisals can be requested when it’s a question of quality–they cannot be done for “value shopping”.

It gets better…Fannie Mae amended guidelines earlier this year allowing appraisal management companies to be owned by lenders!   

“The lender’s ownership of or affiliation with an appraisal management company is no longer restricted.  However, any appraisal management company that provides the lender with an appraisal must adopt written policies and procedures implementing the revised Code.”

From Appraisal Press:

“In it’s current form, the HVCC discriminates against appraisers by (a) effectively requiring lenders to engage appraisers through appraisal management companies, which retain 40-50% of the fees paid by lenders, reduce competition as a result of industry consolidation, and deteriorate appraisal quality by forcing veteran appraisers from the workforce, and (b) creating an artificial preference for automated valuation models, which will result in fewer appraisals, reduced market transparency and the danger of increased in-house lender abuses.  The HVCC will deprive consumers of their right to obtain independent, quality appraisals.

So let me get this straight… banks and lenders can own or have ownership interest in appraisal management companies.  The AMCs (possibly owned by banks/lenders) can select which appraisers make their list AND they will reduce the appraisers incomes in an all ready challenging market.   Who regulates the AMCs?  

NAMB’s fighting HVCC and I don’t always support all of NAMBs views…I have to agree with them here.   Once again, instead of dealing with the offenders, industries are in the process of being punished wiped out.

2008 Loan Limits to Return Soon

Part of the The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 includes bringing back the higher 2008 loan limits to certain areas.   Locally this means we may see high balance loan limits increase from $506,000 for single family dwellings in King, Snohomish and Pierce counties back to $567,500.   Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA will move forward and lenders will immediately follow.

Stay tuned.