Bigger homes and smaller lots?

The Seattle Times had an interesting article about how the technology changing our life style influence preferences in real estate.

In the past 25 years, the size of homes nationwide has been on the rise, while the size of lots has been shrinking. According to the U.S. Census, the median size of new single-family homes increased almost 29 percent from 1978 to 2003, but median lot size shrank 13 percent. The census does not track this information at the city or county level. Census statistics show that regionally, lots in the West have been the smallest in the country every year since 1992, the first year regional numbers were available.

Local builders and others in the residential-construction industry say declining lot size, in particular, is true for the Puget Sound region. Developers say they’re building homes on 4,500- to 5,500-square-foot lots, but older figures were unavailable for comparison.

“The most significant change we’ve seen is that the lot size is shrinking over time,” says Michael Feuerborn, owner and president of Auburn-based DreamCraft Homes. “They’re getting pretty much the same house we built 10, 15 years ago, but it’s on a smaller lot.”

Dan French, general manager and co-owner of Kirkland-based Austin Royce Design/Build, agrees.

“In the last five years, I don’t think there’s been so much increase in size [of homes] as there has been shrinkage in land,” French said.

And they give an interesting reason for such thing:

“Years ago, there was no such thing as a media room,” said Paul Glosniak, president of Bellevue-based Bennett Homes, which builds about 300 homes a year. “Now we have relatively inexpensive large-screen TVs and surround-sound systems, and people want spaces to put those in.”

With the influence of the Internet, e-mail, fax machines and high-speed Internet access, more people are telecommuting and want home offices. Glosniak sometimes builds his-and-her offices.

Lifestyle changes have made yard space less important than it once was.

“A smaller lot means ease of maintenance,” Glosniak said. “With everyone being so busy and with two people in a household working in order to afford the home, people are not wanting to do a lot of yard work, so people are accepting smaller lots as a convenience.”

Here is a summary of the US Census numbers that show how median homes have grown nearly 29 percent in the U.S. since 1978, while lots have shrunk 13 percent.

Year: Home sq. ft. / Lot sq. ft.
1978: 1,650 / 9,790
1983: 1,580 / 8,375
1988: 1,800 / 9,225
1993: 1,900 / 9,680
1998: 2,000 / 8,992
2003: 2,125 / 8,666

Latest stab at on-line mapping

Eating LeavesGalen over at shackprices alerted me to a new google maps search by Windermere. I can’t say that I’m surprised to see that Windermere updated their search since their VP of technology told me they would be releasing something soon… None the less, it is always interesting to see what gets produced. My initial reaction is that they’ve built a really clean home search tool (note that they still consider this a BETA site).

Out of the sites that I’ve seen, this is currently the best home search (MLS search) site. Some features I like:

  • As you zoom in to your area, the number of available homes (based on your search criteria) gets updated. This works real fast demonstrating that the Windermere people have thought-through their spacial analysis backend.
  • It is integrated well into the standard MLS search. Nothing will surprise someone who has searched for a home on the internet.

If you are looking for a home in Seattle, I’d highly recommend the Windermere tool. Although there is some good news for all the other people building home search sites. The Beta site that Windermere has published does not do anything really innovative, so there is still plenty of room for someone to break the field wide open. I’m still waiting for someone to use the power of the web to improve search results.

NAR Backs Down…

cenoteaThe National Association of Realtors (NAR) has been fighting a losing battle to allow real estate agents to restrict where their home listings are shown. In essence, many agents are worried that if discount brokers have access to their listings, then the commissions for all agents will drop. After being officially sued by the Justice Department yesterday, NAR released this press release that all but reversed their policy:

The National Association of Realtors® announced today it has adopted a new policy that ensures that all members of Realtor® multiple listing services will receive exactly the same MLS property listings for display on their Web sites as their competitors.

The policy will bring consumers more points of access to real estate information from multiple listing services than they have ever had before, NAR said.

On a related topic… I’ve been fascinated to watch the growth of a new blog that is put out by a splinter group within NAR called the Center for Realtor Technology (CRT). CRT has been putting out some very interesting open source software products that help agents to develop advanced websites. Reading their blog, it makes me think that NAR has chosen to keep these people inside the tent peeing out rather than outside the tent peeing in… For example, on the same day that NAR made the public release mentioned above, CRT staff wrote a blog entry titled “Does ‘Data want to be free’?” In the post, the author makes some excellent observations on how organizations tend to control data (while carefully not mentioning the NAR press release). The CRT staff seem to be working on technologies (open source, wikis, etc.) that seem way more enlightened than the typical NAR approach to solving problems.

I’m going to continue to closely follow the CRT blog, and once I get a chance to try out some of the software, I’ll definitely follow it up with a blog entry!

Shack Prices

Picture of Homes on RiverShack Prices (which I mentioned a few days ago in the comments section of this post) just went live. Their site gives the sale price of King County homes (including Seattle!). Their reason to be:

Shack Prices was created with the hope of giving people as much information about home values as possible. We realized that there were many websites that show you prices of homes on the market (i.e. homes that haven’t yet sold) and some websites that would sell you information about comparable houses nearby, but no sites that let you pick the comparables and the area. The difference between Shack Prices and realtor web sites is that Shack Prices shows the actual price that each house sold for versus the price that someone hopes their house is worth. You can use it to virtually appraise your home or a neighborhood. We hope it helps you as buyer or seller.

In playing around a little, the site seemed pretty darn intuitive. If you are interested in getting a rough idea of how much your home would be worth on the open market, just insert your bedrooms, bathrooms and square feet. If there is not a lot of data in your area, extend the time-frame out a year, instead of the default three months.

If I had to give a critique of the site, it is that they borrowed a little too heavily from the typical home search websites instead of re-thinking how an “appraisal” site might work. For example, if I’m going to appraise my home, I know precisely how many bedrooms and bathrooms are in the home. Why do they have the option for a range? Also, my experience in estimating a home’s value is that some other data fields within the County’s home sales database (like the home’s style code) is much better than the number of bedrooms at indicating the estimated value of a home. The number of bathrooms plays a minor role at best, so I wouldn’t have even bothered with that field. Granted, some of my suggestions might take some user training if they are used to the more traditional home search, but it would be a more valuable tool.

With that said, if you are living in King County and interested in an estimated value of your home, Shack Prices is a great place to start. However, if you want something a little more robust just ask any real estate agent. ANY agent looking for more business will prepare a “Comparative Market Analysis” for free and the agent will likely be more experienced at weeding through the appropriate data fields to develop a better estimate of your home’s value.

Congratulations to Galen for making this happen and check out Seattle Real Estate Talk’s post on Shack Prices…

Party on the Seattle Monorail Project…

Drinks for PartyOn the assumption that the monorail board doesn’t find a way to revive it’s dying patient, the Puget Sound Business Journal had an interesting article on what might happen with the 34 properties that the Seattle Monorail Project (SMP) has already purchased. They mention that some of the properties, like the 7-11 store in Ballard, could fetch a quite a lot of money on the open market. I was surprised to find that through the process of eminent domain, the SMP could only offer the “appraised value” for the properties they bought. I (wrongly) assumed that the SMP was giving property owners some type of premium (on top of “relocations costs”).

I have no numbers to back this up whatsoever, but wouldn’t be ironic if the Seattle Monorail Project was able to close up shop having made a profit from all the properties that they bought at appraised values?

Real estate and coffee… It’s so obvious in retrospect

All Seattle real estate agents should be holding our heads down in shame today as we let a company out of Jackson, Mississippi Michigan open a the world’s first real estate cafe.

It seems so obvious in retrospect! I imagine just about every agent in Seattle has had at least one meeting with a client in a coffee shop (heck, many of us run our entire operations out of coffee shops!), but none of us ever took the initiative to open up a cafe devoted to the real estate arts!

By the way, if there are any Starbuck executives reading my blog, I just thought I’d let you know I’d be willing to discuss ways of teaming on a real estate cafe venture! You guys have been focusing too much on music lately… There’s definitely more money in real estate!

Story via Inman News.

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UPDATE: One of my readers has been kind enough to let me know that this is not the world’s first real estate cafe, as as a matter of fact, Bill Wendel out of Cambridge, MA has been hosting a real estate cafe since 1995. None the less, my offer to Starbucks executives still holds!

New Monorail Director

The PI is reporting that the Monorail project has a new director

A top transportation consultant who worked on the Las Vegas monorail system has been picked to temporarily run Seattle’s troubled monorail project, weeks before a city-imposed deadline for determining whether the line should survive.

John Haley Jr. of the firm Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. was announced this evening as the interim executive director. Haley has extensive transit and transportation experience, including stints as deputy executive director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and general manager of the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority.

“He knows his job is to come in and help us figure out what to do,” including possibly abandoning the project, said board member Cleve Stockmeyer, head of a search committee. “He has committed to be objective.”

My hope is that he can bring the project back from the dead, but that’s probably too much to ask of a transportation consultant! 🙂

UPDATE: The Stranger presents the first positive article on the monorail I’ve seen in quite a while…