Another Lender Pulls Out of Fannie/Freddie 100

Lately I’ve felt like Debbie Downer with the information I’ve been sharing here. On a positive note, it’s great that wedebbie downer have blogs to get this information out to buyers, sellers and real estate professionals…especially since we, as Loan Originators, are given very little notice these days of significant changes. I gave you an example last week, here’s one from today.

Franklin American Mortgage Company issued a revised memo that I received today announcing a reduction in Expanded Approval (EA) loan to values to a maximum of 95% LTV with a minimum credit score of 660. An “expanded approval” is when a loan scenario doesn’t quite fit the pegs needed to receive an “approval” from the AUS (automated underwriting system). There are different levels of “Expanded Approval” and to tell you the truth, I did very few (maybe 1 or 2 ever) EA loans. There’s a price hit, and at the time either FHA, subprime or Alt-A would offer a better scenario for the borrower. If you had an EA approval with First Franklin at 100% LTV, you had until 4:00 CST today to lock the loan and it was also subject to MI availability (good luck). This part of the memo didn’t bother me personally since I didn’t really use this type of loan as much as the next section.

Here was my personal zinger: Franklin American is discontinuing Fannie Flex 100/Freddie 100. The maximum LTV/CLTV is reduced from 100% to 97% including Fannie 100, Freddie 100, My Community and Home Possible programs (you can still do a Flex 97).

I still have a few lenders that are offering Fannie Flex 100 “at the moment”. However, I’m expecting 100% LTV financing with Freddie and Fannie to go the way of the do-do.

What should you do?

If you’re a Listing Agent and have transactions pending with 100% financing, I would confirm with the lender they are still valid. If you have offers on your listings with 100% financing, contact the lender to confirm they can still offer this product. And consider a quick closing.

If you’re a Selling Agent with Buyers utilizing 100% financing, your buyers should consider a “Plan B” (like 3% down for Flex 97 or FHA). I recommend reverifying transactions in process and any preapprovals.

Buyers, if you’re planning on buying using 100% LTV financing, meet with your Mortgage Professional to develop a “Plan B”. It’s good to have options in this kind of market.

Watch for my next post…featuring eeorr.

Major Credit Score Rate Adjustments — The Hits Keep Coming

Fannie and Freddie are implementing new loan level price adjustments (LLPA) based on credit score and loan to value. This is a
change for the worse from my previous post announcing the original LLPA. Now your credit score is even more critical. Some lenders are implementing these changes immediately with terms on when the loans must be locked and closed.

The following information is for purchases and rate/term refinances with mortgage terms longer than 15 years (cash out refi’s have additional hits).

The hits shown below are “to price” and not to rate.

LTV (loan to value) 60.01% to 70%
Credit Score 720 or better — no hit
Credit Score 640 -719 is a 0.500% hit to price.
Credit Score 620 – 639 is a 0.750% hit to price.

LTV 70.01 or More
Credit Score 720 or better — no hit
Credit Score 680 to 719 is a 0.500% hit to price.
Credit Score 660 – 679 is a 1.250% hit to price.
Credit Score 640 – 659 is a 1.750% hit to price.
Credit Score 620 – 639 is a 2.500% hit to price.

These “hits” are in addition to other factors that are used for pricing rates and even though I quoted lower credit scores, don’t count on Fannie/Freddie (conforming) financing…especially if you’re eyeing the temporary conforming-jumbo which requires a minimum 660 credit score.

So if you have a 719 credit score and are putting 20% down using a 30 or 20 year fixed rate mortgage, you are going to pay 0.5% more in fee than your friend with a 720 credit score. If your loan amount is $400,000, this is an additional cost of $2000. Or the “price hit” may be factored into to the interest rate. Typically (but not always) 0.5% in fee would equal about 0.125% – 0.25% higher in rate. A quarter point difference in rate runs around $65.00 per month ($775 per year).

Recommended read: How to Improve Your Credit Score.

I also encourage anyone who is considering buying or refinancing a home to meet with a Mortgage Professional as soon as possible. A little time and elbow grease may save you thousands.

MB Confidential – Should he come out of the closet?

Back in July I wrote this post about my favorite real estate blog(s) not written by people inside the real estate industry.

Manhattan Beach Confidential is written by an anonymous author whom I know as MB Watcher. He was featured in an article written by The Easy Reader and is under a lot of pressure to come out of the closet.

My advice to him was Don’t Do It!!! Stay anonymous. They are just looking for whom to crucify. They’ve got the cross and nails hidden behind their backs. They’ve got the noose all ready over in The Tree Section. They want to know who you are so they can find the chink in your armor. Telling them who you are would be revealing your Achilles’ Heal…we all have one.

I hope to be meeting him in person in the next month or so, and he has agreed to do that without wearing a bag over his head 🙂 Though I have suggested that he do wear a bag over his head and do not want to know his real name. It may be against the code of ethics for me not to tell the Realtors who he is, if I know his name.

What do you think? Should MB Watcher come out of the closet? Is the info he provides less valuable if you don’t know who he is? I don’t think agents are allowed to be anonymous for many reasons. But just a guy writing about real estate? Can he stay a well informed unknown?

Have you heard about Zilpy? New site for tracking rents in cities across USA…

A title rep sent me an email today that gave me a head’s up on a new site I’d not seen before called www.Zilpy.com. It looks a heck of a lot like Zillow but with data on rents instead of home values. I’ve been playing around with it a bit and while I can’t figure out exactly yet how they’re getting the data, I’m intrigued. Most likely I’ll make mention of it to some of our investors to get their feedback on it as well and see if they think it’s a worthwhile site.

Check out the function of “heat maps” for rent levels in Washington. More states and cities are covered so it’s not just a Seattle gig. I believe it’s come to life from Silicon Valley.

Zilpy.com

Fannie Mae's Jumbo-Conforming Loan Guidelines

I started this post with the plans of announcing the pricing for the Jumbo-Conforming mortgages…however, I just don’t have enough facts to do so yet. It looks like Fannie Mae’s add to rate is 0.25%…however, lenders will most likely have their own add to rate as well. (So far, I’ve only seen a jumbo-conforming rate from one lender which was in the high 6 range for a 30 year). As soon as I have more data, I’ll let you know.

Here is some basic information from Fannie Mae regarding temporary Jumbo-Conforming mortgages (loan amounts from $417,001 – $567,500 for King, Pierce Snohomish Counties):

Purchase Mortgages/Principal Residence
Fixed Rate: Max LTV/CLTV 90%. Minimum Mid-Score LTV>80%: 700 / LTV = or <80%: 660.
ARMs: Max LTV/CLTV 80%. Minimum Mid-Score: 660%

Limited Cash Out Refi (Limited cash out means you can recieve a maximum of $2000 cash back at closing).
Fixed/ARMs: Max LTV 75%/Max CLTV 95%. Minimum Mid-Score: 660
Cash out refinances are not eligible (this includes paying off a second mortgage with a refinance, which is considered “cash out”). Update 4/7/2008: Fannie Mae just issued clarification on this guideline: they will now treat paying off a purchase money second as a limited cash out refinance.

*Full doc only.
*2 months reserves (PITI) are required for primary residence.
*45% maximum DTI ratio.
*ARMS are qualified on the fully amortized PITI at the higher of the note rate or fully indexed rate.
*Limited to four financed properties, including the borrower’s principal residence.

Remember, this coach turns back into a pumpkin on December 31, 2008.

Lenders will start pricing “jumbo conforming” anytime…stay tuned!

Sunday Night Stats – King County

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King County Residential Sales

Active/For Sale – 9,436 – UP 260 – median price $524,050 – UP $450

In Escrow – 2,628 – UP 44 – median price $449,000 – Down $950 (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 2,280 – UP 338 – median price $435,000 – UP $462

King Conty Condo Sales

Active/For Sale – 3,366 – UP 105 – median price $324,850 – DOWN $4,050

In Escrow – 868 – no change – median price $314,450 – UP $5,950 (asking prices)

Closed YTD – 762 – UP 104 – median price $280,000 – UP $1,050

Updated closings for February 2008

Adding late postings

Condos # of sales 394 for Feb. 2008 vs. 635 in Feb. 2007 – DOWN 38%
Residential # of sales 1,171 for Feb. 2008 vs. 1,640 in Feb. 2007 – DOWN 28.5%

Residential priced under $400,000
2,902 on market vs. 3,183 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $600,000
5,753 on market vs. 5,798 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $800,000
7,332 on market vs. 6,812 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $1,000,000
8,090 on market vs. 7,231 sold in the last six months

Residential priced under $2,000,000
9,059 for sale vs. 7,636 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $300,000
1,512 for sale vs. 1,658 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $500,000
2,697 on market vs. 2,677 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $800,000
3,086 on market vs 2,890 sold in the last six months

Condos priced under $1.5 million
3,277 on market vs. 2,929 sold in the last six months

“Statistics not compiled or published by NWMLS.

Does it matter who you list with, who you close with or who your loan officer is?

apples

Being in the escrow business is really fascinating. You see lots of things. You hear lots of things. You get to observe what is efficient and what slows down transactions.

Escrow can be confusing too. We really serve two masters: those that are our clients (the principals such as the seller or buyer or borrower) and those that are our customers: agents and loan officers who suggest and refer work to us or any other service provider. It’s also something to experience such a large transaction “quality control” chasm between different agents working for different brokerages even within a major brokerage franchise network.

But this post really is about how agents and consumers decide what you decide.

1) For example, an interesting thing occured. In the mail, I received a post card from Greg Perry of John L Scott marketing a home not far from my place. It’s not strange that I receive things in the mail from Realtors, but that the owner of the home is a broker from another company—why did they hire another agent to list the house? I know this owner because our kids play together and we’ve closed transactions for him. It is a fascinating move.

2) We have had several transactions with repeat clients who have used a different service provider (agent or loan officer) the second or third time around. Why are they doing this?

3) In escrow we work in high collaboration with just about every title company. Obviously, we do not have primary contact with the sales staff (title reps) but rather the attorneys, title officers and back office staff that are largely the engine under the title insurance hood.

One of the things that I have always wondered and one question that my wife actually raised while we discussed business matters is the following: how do agents choose one title company over another since the perception of agents in the market is that title insurance companies (heck, even escrow firms) all do the same thing and the end result of issuing a title policy or a closed transaction is the same result? In other words, agents have a tendency to say they receive good service, but what is that service they receive? Agents have very little if no contact with the title company other than the with the title rep. How are the title companies differentiating themselves especially when many are using just another name plate but are in fact a subsidiary of a large national title company.

Consumers have no idea how to differentiate Pacific Northwest Title (First American) from First American Title. Or, comparing Land America Title from Commonwealth or Rainier Title (Land America companies). It is kind of like comparing the Nissan Quest with the Mercury Villager. Both are virtually the same vehicle. Consumers rely upon their agent to differentiate for them. How do the agents differentiate between service providers for their customer?

4) Along those same lines, competition is cut-throat between service providers such as escrow and title, especially in a market where sales volumes are significantly lower than over the past four years. Agents are very fierce in fighting for their respetive loan officer or title or escrow company if involved in a sale. Tradition has it’s place, but what is the compelling proposition of one service provider or closing agent over another?

5) What is more important to an agent when suggesting a loan officer: closing the transaction, lowest rates and fees for their customer or client, or a combination? For example, one of the loan officers we work with does average volume but gives phenominal service to the client, loan docs are usually ready days in advance and nothing has ever not closed due to a problem created by this LO. On the other hand, we work with LO’s that due boat loads of loans and there are the occasional problems with service to their clients or other issues.

Any guesses as to if the BOA buyout of Countrywide will still happen?

CNN is reporting this morning that Countrywide is now the subject of an FBI investigation into their lending practices. Countrywide is suspected of engaging in “widespread fraud…which may have contributed to the subprime mortgage crisis that has rocked the U.S. economy.”

fbi 1The FBI will investigate Countrywide’s underwriting practices, the way loans were originated and their accounting representations to shareholders in regards to subprime loan losses.

I wonder if there are more whistleblowers ready to share what they know, or perhaps they already have which is what prompted the investigation.

This makes me believe that we are going to see many, many, many lenders in the next several weeks coming clean very fast about any accounting irregularities that they might have been trying to delay.

In addition, watch for underwriting guidelines to FURTHER tighten and expect that all publicly traded companies to come out with new “best practices” guidelines for all employees and third party originators. The big question is, will the new best practices guidelines will apply to senior management?

I’m trying to imagine what it would be like to be a Countrywide employee today, facing the possibility of being interviewed by the FBI.

Tim Ellis of Seattle Bubble on 710 KIRO

I’m listening to Tim Ellis of Seattle Bubble on the Dave Ross show on 710 KIRO with David Goldstein sitting in for Dave Ross.

There’s a link to the show in this post and it is well worth the time to listen.

Tim did a fabulous job and I highly recommend that you listen to “the voice” of Seattle Bubble’s founder in this radio program.

I did a quick check while listening to the program regarding the conversation in the latter part of the show regarding Eastside and Seattle. My stats support Tim’s statement that Seattle Downtown and within City Limits North of Downtown are doing better than the Eastside. Kirkland, Bellevue Redmond median price being up from $600,000 to $610,000 while North Seattle was up from $533,000 to $549,000 for the same six month period. Days on market Eastside being up from 36 days to 46 days vs. North Seattle being up from 26 days to 30 days. Number of homes sold down 22% in North Seattle vs down 26% on the Eastside.

While I am not seeing prices down in those samplings, I am seeing short sales that are selling for less than the owner paid, and not just for less than the amount owed. So the number of short sales in the mix in any neighborhood will continue to impact area pricing.

There is a significant increase in the number of sales that are contingent on the sale of another house. More and more people are including a house sale contingency with their offer to purchase. It is wise not to depend on a certain sale price when buying, only to find that your best hope is not going to pan out as you had thought it would.

Generally speaking the numbers are still pretty strong as to price, and so I’m not seeing the same price picture as Tim seems to be seeing. I agree with Tim that you are not likely going to see owners running into the assessor’s office to prove their home is worth less anytime soon.

In any event, take the time to listen to the radio program and hear the voice of Seattle Bubble. If you liked him before…you’ll like him even more. If you didn’t like him before…I’m sure you will find that your perception was not reality. He doesn’t sound ANYTHING like Chicken Little and he offers a well reasoned perspective.

New Version of "Musical Chairs"

Sometimes a comment on one of RCG’s posts is SO interesting that you just have to turn it into its own post, so people don’t miss it. Like this one from Dave in Sacramento:

“In my neighborhood in Sacramento, California, I am seeing a chain of people buying a foreclosed upon or short sale home while they still have good credit, then allowing their former home (which is in the same neighborhood with the same floor plan) to go into foreclosure or otherwise disposed of. Then a second person with good credit buys that newly foreclosed upon home and – guess what – let’s their old house go to the bank! With no down payment and (often) no tax consequences, one is effectively reducing his debt from $300K to $200K for the same home. They feel they have won the lottery!

The only disadvantage is a bad credit rating, which doesn’t seem like such a big deal (they may regret this later). Still, $100K makes up for a lot of pain from poor credit.. I actually have my own home up for sale and I have had four offers, mostly from our own neighbors that want to have the same house for less money. Maybe the banks should just write off some of the principal and save themselves the trouble..

But not me – I am going to be a renter. I bought in 2006 for $300K ($15K down) and can only get $210K for the house now. As a military member, I’ll have to move in summer 2009, prices won’t go up, and rents won’t cover the mortgage – too many people renting right now. I already have one upside-down rental in West Virginia from my last move draining my time and money. Anyway, I have to sell. I’ll lose my $15K and the bank will lose about almost $100K. I thought I’d get a modest 2%-3% increase each year 2006-2009 and be able to sell for what I owed plus closing costs, but there’s no way. I wasn’t greedy; I just wanted a decent place to live with a yard and peace/quiet. I don’t worry about the $15K – that’s the past – but I hate having my good credit get trashed and being unable to buy a new home, but what can I do? Cash out my entire 401K? Maybe I should buy another house now?

My bank refuses to consider four good offers or talk with me at all until I miss three payments, so I am now saving up all of those monthly payments and will move into an apartment whenever the bank wants me to go. Apartments here seem willing to rent to me even when I tell them I am in a short sale; I am just one of many people with bad credit filling a lot of unwanted apartment vacancies.

But, for now, I am staying put and at least the yard gets watered and the trash gets picked-up while the bank comes to grips with the fact they are getting their house back. I feel that my trying to preserve the home’s value until I go is the very least I could do to be “ethical