How Brokers Protect Themselves at their Clients’ Expense

When you hire a professional to represent you, your interests should be paramount. If your interests conflict with the interests of that professional, you should be informed of that conflict. Before the representation continues notwithstanding the conflict, you should provide your informed consent to that continued representation. These are some of the hallmarks of “representation.” In at least one regard, real estate brokers — or at least those that use the NWMLS forms — fall far short of this standard.

How, exactly? When a contract fails for pretty much any reason, escrow will typically not disburse the earnest money to either party absent consistent written instructions from both parties. Similarly, before the seller signs another contract for the sale of the same property, it is prudent and proper for the seller to confirm that the first contract truly is dead — selling the same home twice is a sure-fire way to subject yourself to a breach of contract claim. For these and other reasons, it is a near universal practice for the parties to a contract to sign an NWMLS Form 51, a “Rescission of Purchase and Sale Agreement,” when terminating the deal.

NWMLS Form 51 is deeply flawed and totally inconsistent with the notion that the broker “represents” the client, at least in regards to a conflict between the broker and the client. Specifically, the “release” portion of the rescission not only releases the other party to the contract from further liability, it also releases the brokers from all liability. Moreover, it is not too hard to imagine a scenario where the rescission was necessitated by the broker’s own negligence, making inclusion of the release particularly distasteful.

For example, what if the broker failed to timely rescind the contract based on the inspection, and the property has a huge and costly defect? In that circumstance, the buyer might decide to simply walk away, but because the broker blew the inspection deadline the buyer will lose the earnest money. The buyer would then have a good claim against the broker for the loss of the earnest money. But if that buyer signs the Form 51, the buyer releases his broker from this claim.

The irony is that the terms are completely unrelated. There is simply no reason to include the release of the broker in the rescission — other than to protect that broker from a potential claim asserted by the client. In other words, the standard form document used by brokers includes an unrelated and irrelevant term that protects the broker from any adverse claim asserted by the client, even where the adverse claim arose out of the very same facts that led to use of the form document.

So if you’re going to hire a broker for “representation,” be aware that the representation is seriously limited by the broker’s own self-interest. For proof, look no further than the form used by a broker when the deal heads south….

Research Paper Writing Service

Research is a mandatory activity for virtually all students undertaking higher education in any professional field. This is at times a tedious evaluation exercise and it requires a combination of technical and authorship skills, because it entails different types of activities of both a physical and intellectual nature. Students are more often required to engage in research activities that may involve information gathering from both secondary and primary sources, analysis of the collected information and data as well as making inferential conclusions. Students usually encounter numerous challenges when it comes to research paper writing. The kind of challenges and difficulties encountered by these students are usually multi-faceted and they may include the actual gathering of information and data, the compilation of the gathered information and data, the analysis of the information, the making of inferences or the actual writing of the research papers. At times students may also lack enough time to engage in all these activities. The initial stages of initiating the actual research through the writing of the research proposal may also prove to be a challenge, because this section requires greater precision and focus based on the research goals and objectives.

All these challenges may bog you down and make your research activities and assignments a very complex and tedious process. But this may never be the case if you seek research paper services. There are a number of online firms that specialize in offering online research paper services. The research paper services offered by online research firms vary and they encompass all the research activities and stages involved in conducting an actual research. Research paper services may help even at the very first stage of the initiation of the research process. If you are facing difficulties determining the kind of research you are supposed to do you may get help by seeking online research paper services. Under such circumstances the offered research paper services may include the customization of your research proposal.

In this section research paper services providers try to help the research define his or her research questions and objectives in a more specific manner that helps focus his or her research activities in the right direction that will help his/her answer the questions posed by the researcher. These services may also be sought whenever the student is unable to collect specific information on any topic. Under such circumstances the research paper services providers go out into the field on behalf of the researcher to gather information either from primary or secondary sources. This may then be forwarded to the researcher who will analyze it and use it writing his or her own research. However, for clients that may be unable to conduct their own analysis and inference making, online research firms can offer services in analysis and interpretation of information which is then forwarded to the client who may undertake the final writing of the research paper. In cases where the client feels that s/he may be unable to attend to all her/his research exercises, the research paper services providers may take over the whole of the research process and conduct the whole research and finally deliver a completed draft of the research paper to the client. Research paper services are very essential in helping students that may be caught up with time and unable to attend to their academic activities well. As such research paper services are indispensable in today’s busy academic environment.

Real Estate – The #2 Question

The #2 Question in Real Estate is Why Can’t I Find a Good House at a Fair Price?

The #1 Question we covered was How Much is THIS Home Worth? For those who find a house they want to buy, or may want to buy, the question is how much is it worth or how much should I offer on it?

But there are a fair amount of people having trouble finding a house they may want to buy.

OR they find a house they may want to buy, but not at the price they want to pay.

For those people the main question is Why can’t I find a GOOD home at a FAIR price.

At any given time, in any market, if you are looking for a home to live in vs an investment property, you will be lucky to find THREE good choices no matter how many homes are on market.

Every SELLER needs to BE #1, #2 or #3 and every BUYER needs to FIND #1, #2 and #3.

It really is that simple. The only difference between a Buyer’s Market and a Seller’s Market in that regard is the amount of time you have to find those. In a Seller’s market you may only have hours before #1 hits the market and has offers. In a Buyer’s market you usually have up to a week, unless you are trying to beat out everyone else.

In a hot seller’s market, good houses at a fair price are usually about 1 in a 100. In a buyer’s or balanced market, good houses are more often 2 -5 per 100. The only thing this tells you is you have to kiss more than a few frogs to find “the one”. Luckily most people are able to do that using the internet to narrow down the choices.

If you are thinking you are going to narrow down to 20 good houses and choose from those, you are likely incorrect. The danger in that thinking is that you will continue to lose out on #1, #2 and #3 while you are sorting the 20.

Worth Mentioning Here: #1 may move up to #1 after 650 days on market via a massive price reduction. So we are not talking about grabbing “new on market” necessarily. Very few homes come out of the gate at the right price.

Knowing which ones do and which don’t is what separates the men from the boys, and is likely the hardest part of finding a home to buy.

Last but not least is knowing what you want, and what a “good” house is and is not, and what a “fair” price is and is not. Easier said than done, but not as hard as you might think either. Likely the #1 mistake people make is looking at County-wide stats. As you can see from the charts below, that will likely lead you to overpaying in South King County and missing the opportunities in North King County.

graph (29)

I haven’t been doing condo stats for a couple of years, but threw these in so you can see the variance between Homes and Condos.

Condo and Single Family Home prices are not always moving in the same direction, and clearly never to the same degree.

graph (30)

Back to the Question: Why Can’t I Find a Good House at a Fair Price? You might be pricing incorrectly or you may just be taking too long to make a decision. I’m not talking about taking too long to buy the right one, I’m talking about taking too long to sort the “wrong” ones into two piles. One pile is NO and the other pile is MAYBE, but not at this price.

It’s very, very difficult to find the one that is priced right out the gate. I can usually do that, but it is seriously very difficult, and most people don’t have the heart for that in a Buyer’s market.

If you have been LOOKING for the right house at the right price for a long time, you probably need to change the method of HOW you are doing the LOOKING.

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(Required Disclosure: Stats in this post are not compiled, verified or posted by The Northwest Multiple Listing Service)

Real Estate – From Contract to Close of Escrow

What happens after the seller has accepted your offer? Often a buyer wants to relax and celebrate after their offer is accepted, especially if there were rounds of counter offers and acceptances. But some things need to happen pretty quickly after the contract is signed by all parties. This is a fairly good example of what actually happens most times. Not all contracts are the same. This is just a rough example of what usually happens in my transactions when I represent the buyer of a home, unless the contract requires us to do things differently than “the norm”.

1) SCHEDULE THE HOME INSPECTION

Usually the very first thing I have my buyer clients do once the contract is “signed around” by all parties, is schedule the home inspection. Often people read the contract to mean that they have 5 to 10 days (every contract is different) to DO the inspection. That is not the case.

During that very limited time frame:

a) You have to “DO” The Inspection
b) You have to review the results of The Inspection
c) You have to think about what you may or may not want to ask of the seller as a result of that Inspection
d) You have to cancel the contract, or accept the inspection, or submit any conditions of accepting the Inspection, in writing, so that it is RECEIVED by the seller or seller’s representative by the end of the time frame.

You don’t want to wait until the last minute to “DO” the inspection.

My recommendation is that you call the inspector ASAP after the contract is finalized and DO the inspection at the first available opportunity after the contract is signed around. By scheduling the inspection ASAP for the first available time, you should have sufficient time to digest what the inspector said at the inspection, and also to subsequently review the written inspection report after the inspector has left the property.

You should allow about 3 to 4 hours for the actual inspection in most cases for an average sized single family home.

2) OPEN ESCROW

By the time the contract is “signed around”, the Agent for the Buyer usually has the Earnest Money check in their possession (some exceptions). Opening Escrow can be as simple as bringing a copy of the contract and the Earnest Money check to escrow, and that is often done on the first business day after the contract is accepted. Sometimes I send the contract to escrow during the weekend, if the contract was accepted on a non-business day. This way escrow has everything they need to “open escrow” when they open for business on the first business day after the weekend. The check usually has to be delivered to escrow by the 2nd business day and this is another one of those ASAP situations. Get the check to escrow as soon as practically convenient vs waiting to the last minute. There is no official time frame as to when escrow must be OPENED, there is only a required time frame for when the EM check must be AT escrow. Most escrow holders will not accept a check for an escrow that has not been “opened”, so escrow is usually opened either in advance of that check needing to be delivered to escrow, or at the same time.

Generally this 2nd step is not done by the buyer or the seller, but by the agents in the transaction.

3) APPLY FOR YOUR MORTGAGE

This step is VERY IMPORTANT and often misunderstood.

Common “misconceptions”.

a) Some people think you don’t need to apply for your mortgage until after you complete the Home Inspection phase. Most contracts require that you apply for your mortgage in a shorter time frame than when the inspection needs to be completed.

b) Some people (usually agents) think that the buyer must apply to the same mortgage company who provided the pre-approval letter at time of offer. Usually a buyer has 5 business days or less to “apply” for their mortgage AFTER the contract is signed around and “chooses” which company to apply to during that time frame. It is near impossible in most cases to actually choose a lender prior to contract, because interest rates change during that time AND the interest rate often cannot be locked until there is a signed contract. So choosing lender by comparing rates and costs is usually best done at a point when that rate can be locked in.

b) Some people (usually buyers) think they already “applied for their mortgage” complying with the terms of their contract when they provided the information to a lender before making an offer so as to get a pre-approval letter.

c) Many people think that their rate is locked, or that their rate is locked indefinitely. Rate locks of 60 days are usually more expensive than rate locks for 30 days or 45 days.

In order to preserve your rights under the Finance Contingency you need to apply for your mortgage within the time frame stated in the addendum vs in the main contract.

To me the clear signal that you have “applied” for your mortgage happens when you give the lender a copy of a fully signed around contract to purchase a home, since that is the one thing you do AFTER the contract is fully signed around that you could not have done in advance.

You may have spoken with a few lenders and even gotten pre-approval letters from more than one, but in most cases you only send a copy of the contract to the lender you intend to use to complete the transaction.

Very important to note here that you may not have the ability to switch lenders once you have applied for your mortgage.

Interest rates change frequently, so calling a lender a day may only be telling you the difference in rates from day to day vs from lender to lender. I generally recommend that people set aside a day and time to compare lenders so they are all dealing with the same rate time frame, and be sure to compare all lender fees when comparing rates.

Should you lock the rate or “float” the rate? A combination of both where you can lock the rate but get at least one “float down” option as well, often works best. That way your rate can’t go up but it can go down.

Many other variables as to which type of loan, etc. But the main point here is no matter how long it is from contract to close, you usually have a very limited time frame to apply for your mortgage under the terms of the Finance Contingency, generally 5 days or less.

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Note: Computation of Time: Sometimes The Home Inspection is Step 3 vs Step 4. That mostly depends on the availability of the inspector you choose. Sometimes you are having the home inspection within a day or two of the contract being signed around. In that case you often do the inspection before you apply for your mortgage.

Every contract is slightly different because of “Computation of Time”. In our standard contracts 5 days or less usually does NOT include weekends and holidays…but 6 days or more does.

So if you have 6 days to do the inspection and 5 days to apply for your mortgage, 5 days can be more than 6 days since the 6 = calendar days and the 5 = business days.
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4) THE HOME INSPECTION

The inspection is paid for by the buyer, usually before the inspection begins. The buyer usually attends the Home Inspection because it is not a PASS/FAIL kind of thing in most cases. It is also not ONLY about what is wrong with the house. A good home inspection gives the buyer a lot of information that is not all about what the buyer may want the seller to do to correct defects.

Generally a Home Inspector will:

a) Inspect the outside of the home first. Roof, siding, gutters, etc. VERY IMPORTANT: Most inspectors are inspecting “the home” and not the fence or the shed and sometimes not even decks, especially if they are not connected to the house.

b) The inspector is usually not looking at cosmetic things that can be readily seen by the buyer prior to making the offer, such as a stain in the carpet.

c) An inspector cannot see through walls, so having an experienced inspector who likely knows what is behind those walls based on the age of the house is very important.

d) Since an inspector is not looking at cosmetic items, he will usually spend more time in bathrooms and kitchens, the attic and under the house, at the heater and electrical panel and hot water tank, than in a dining room or bedroom. In a bedroom he may check the outlets and the windows and make sure the door latches properly. In a kitchen or bathroom he will be checking appliances, looking for leaks under sinks, making sure the outlets in the rooms with water have appropriate and functioning GFCI (ground fault circuit interrupters) at the outlets. Often one GFCI will operate more than one outlet.

e) Generally you do not need to take notes at an inspection, as the inspector will be providing you with a written report. Hopefully the report will have a summary of major problems and a separate summary of minor problems. Today Inspection Reports can be 85 pages long with lots of tips on home maintenance and other topics. So a one page summary of actual defects is helpful.

IMPORTANT: If something is wrong with the property, you usually know it before you get the written report. If something comes up that causes you to not want the house at all, you may not want to complete the full inspection. In fact if you suspect that to be the case, you may ask the inspector to break from his normal routine and look at that item first.

HOUSES ALMOST NEVER “FAIL” ON INSPECTION. Contracts often fail “on inspection” due to other issues, BUT “HOUSES” RARELY “FAIL” ON INSPECTION.

Most often when a contract “fails on inspection” and “falls out of escrow” it is because of an erroneous or not reasonable expectation. The buyer isn’t doing what the seller expected the buyer to do, or the seller is not doing what the buyer expected the seller to do. Rarely does a real “deal-breaker” issue come up with the house, that the buyer and seller could not have known about in advance of the offer being made. Most often the contract fails because the buyer or the seller is not responding “appropriately” to an issue. That is usually an emotional problem, vs an actual “problem” with the house that can’t be rectified.

Good “Rule of Thumb” is no seller should expect the buyer to want absolutely nothing at inspection, and no buyer should expect a seller to address everything the inspector talks about as needing to be done to the house.

Instead of taking general notes during a home inspection, I find using a chart like this to be helpful during the inspection. The inspector says SO many things over a 3 to 4 hour period, so organizing them a bit while the inspector is there can help you raise questions at the end before the inspector leaves the premises.

Inspection Chart

Column One – OWNER SHOULD – There are no hard and fast rules here. Many items the Inspector notes as “needing to be done” are things any owner needs to do periodically. Is “The Owner” the Buyer of the Home? Or is “The Owner” the Seller of the home? While contracts often fail over these issues, they should not as they are things the buyer will need to do during their ownership of the home. These are not “once and done” items. If the gutters are so clogged and dirty because the owner never had them cleaned during their ownership, the buyer may ask the seller to have those professionally cleaned prior to closing. The buyer may put this in the “Seller SHOULD” column. Often this has to do with the number of trees dropping debris into the gutters.

Generally a buyer should not decide they do not want the house after all because the gutters are dirty and the seller won’t have them cleaned prior to closing, or because the seller won’t trim a small branch on a tree.

Just because the Inspector tells the buyer “the gutters need to be cleaned” does not mean the seller needs to DO something. The Inspector may simply be saying that at EVERY inspection so the buyer knows that this is a normal owner maintenance item. That statement alone does not mean there is something currently “wrong” with the gutters.

Column Two – OWNER MUST – These are usually things the seller would have fixed had he known they were not functioning properly. They are usually things that have no aesthetic selection element, so that it doesn’t matter if the buyer does them or the seller does them. They are usually things that can cause a problem or additional damage between inspection and closing.

As example, a leaking sink creates damage every day between the time you discover it and the time it is fixed, so having it fixed without delay is recommended. It is very rare that a seller would not want to fix that leak ASAP.

Column Three – SELLER SHOULD – Many items fall in here and are basically not major things. Often whether or not the seller “should” fix them has to do with the price of the home. If the buyer is paying a good and somewhat high “fair market value” then the buyer often expects these things to be done and the seller, happy with the price he got for the home, often does them. If the buyer is getting a screaming deal and the seller is walking away with nothing or less than nothing, the seller usually expects the buyer to accept the home with these issues not being addressed.

Often these are things the seller did not deem important enough to fix while he lived there, and not something the seller did not know about. A small crack in a window. A broken window seal (this is cosmetic in most cases). A bedroom door doesn’t “latch” properly, which is often fixed by tightening knob or hinge screws or adjusting the latch plate. Basically things that can be fixed with little or no cost and a screw driver.

Column Four – ?????This is where many sales can fall apart. These are usually large items that are “in working order” and not currently defective, but near or past their “life expectancy”. Roof is not leaking but 23 years old. Hot water tank is working just fine, but is 18 years old. Heater is working just fine, but is 30 years old. Again these items usually hinge on the price negotiated. If the Seller got the better end of the deal at initial price negotiation, the buyer’s expectations may be different than if the buyer is getting the home at a “below market” price. Often the seller and the buyer do not agree on THAT, on whether the price was at, above, or below market price and THAT is why the sale fails over one of these items. Not because of the item itself, but because the parties think one or the other is not being reasonable given the home price.

Does a house need a new roof because it is “old” but is not leaking? Does a hot water tank need to be replaced because of it’s age when it is functioning well?

Often these things are viewed differently in a Seller’s Market vs a Buyer’s Market.

5) PROPERTY APPRAISED

This item usually happens “in due course” meaning the buyer and seller do not order or control the time frame of this item. The Lender orders the appraisal and unless there is a problem with the appraisal, the contract simply proceeds toward closing. The Buyer usually pays for the appraisal in advance OR is responsible to pay for the appraisal even if they do not close escrow for some reason.

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NOTE: MONEY the buyer needs to pay BEFORE closing. Earnest Money Deposit, Inspector Fees and Appraisal Fees. Depending on the size of the house, the inspector fees are usually $500 or so for one inspector/inspection and $450 or so for the appraisal. There could be more than one inspection needed, and if the home is unusually large or small the cost could vary. If you are only paying $199 for a Home Inspection, that is not a good sign. 🙂

6) HOMEOWNER’S/HAZARD INSURANCE

The buyer needs to purchase a full, one year, Hazard/Fire insurance policy AT closing. Once you are finished with the inspection and the lender has everything they need from you to process the loan, you should arrange for your Insurance Policy with your lender and escrow, who both need to coordinate with your insurance provider.

Most often the best rate is obtained by getting this insurance from the same company that does your car insurance, so be sure to get a quote from them.

Note: Title and Title Insurance Issues happen from before the property is listed through to closing. There are Title reviews and Title Insurance Policies and Supplemental updates of Title throughout the entire transaction. Sometimes these issues are critical, but most often they happen “in due course” and are not alarming. Both escrow and your lender are interacting with the Title Company throughout the transaction.

Title Insurance and Reports are usually pre-ordered by the seller before the home is listed for sale. The Buyer’s name is added when the buyer’s name is known. The Owner delivers “clear title” by paying for Owner’s Title and the buyer pays for Lender’s Title as a condition of their mortgage.

IN SUMMARY: MOST EVERYTHING THE BUYER NEEDS TO “DO” IS DONE IN THE FIRST 5 BUSINESS DAYS OR SO AFTER THE CONTRACT IS SIGNED. AT THE END OF THAT PERIOD THE BUYER EITHER CANCELS OR PROCEEDS TO CLOSING.

7) THE CLOSING Loan Documents arrive at escrow. Hopefully at least 3-5 days before the closing date noted in the contract. The buyer signs their closing papers which include the loan documents and the Final Estimated Numbers called the HUD 1 or Buyer’s Closing Statement and some other ancillary escrow forms. The Lender reviews the signed documents and “releases for recording”. Escrow Records the property in the new owner’s name with the County. Keys are available to the buyer after we have County Recording numbers OR on the date of possession noted in the contract.

Closing is a phone call saying “We have Recording Numbers”.

For the most part the buyer is VERY busy for the first 5 business days or so and then again near the end. In between everyone else is working hard. The seller is packing and moving out. Escrow is coordinating with the agents and the lender and the Title Company and the buyer’s insurance company and the County, and getting the seller’s payoffs so liens can be removed as to the seller’s mortgage and utility bills prior to closing.

THE BUYER SHOULD NOT BE PLANNING TO GO IN THE HOME THEY ARE BUYING AFTER THE HOME INSPECTION AND BEFORE CLOSING!

This often comes as a surprise to most home buyers. The seller is packing and usually does not want you IN the home while it is a mess of boxes! That is why you should do EVERYTHING during the inspection phase. Get estimates for new carpet or hardwoods, measure for curtains, measure for a refrigerator or washer and dryer if you plan on buying them before closing. If you don’t do it during inspection, you may have to wait until after closing.

No post like this is “all inclusive”. This one is written from the standpoint of a buyer purchasing a normal tract home on a normal lot with little problems and no HOA.

Here are a few others I wrote about 5 years ago. All good reading for a buyer or a seller after the initial inspection phase and before closing.

Anatomy of a Real Estate Transaction (Some good “extra” notes in the comments on that one.)

– Short Version for the Buyer

– Short Version for the Seller

– The Three Phases of a Real Estate Transaction form Contract to Close

Real Estate – The #1 Question

The #1 Question in Real Estate is “How Much is THIS Home Worth?”

Every single person who is buying a home or selling a home is going to ask that question. Most people doing a refinance need the answer to that question as well.

1) A home seller needs to know the highest possible price they can sell for.

2) A home buyer needs to know the lowest possible number than can “get it” for…BUT they also need to know the maximum amount they SHOULD pay for it. The answer is often not one in the same.

3) A person planning to refinance, needs to know how much an appraisal will say it is worth, which isn’t necessarily the same method of valuation used by home buyers and home sellers.

Why do you need to know that Home Prices in King County are at early 2005 levels? Because that fact should lead you to some generally true conclusions.

1) If you are a seller thinking about selling your home, and you bought it between 6/2005 and 12/2008, you would be starting from the assumption that you CAN’T GET WHAT YOU PAID FOR IT”. If you bought it in 2001 and never refinanced it, then you should be able to sell it and walk away with positive net proceeds.

2) If you are a buyer wondering what to offer against the seller’s asking price, and he is asking more than he paid for it in 2007…well…you probably need to walk away. Maybe not see that home in the first place.

3) If you are thinking about refinancing and you bought the home in 2007 with zero down, you likely can’t. So save yourself the cost of trying.

Are there exceptions? Well, only a fool says never or always. But if you think you ARE the exception, you better have a really, really good reason why.

I know…your house is different. Your neighborhood is better. REALLY? Usually not as much as you think.

A good example of the dangers of applying Home Sale Statistics improperly, is in Redmond.

The Median Home Price in Redmond is up 66% from 2001 to Present, but not THAT house. That’s why you need to know when an area is running much higher or lower than the overall County market stats, and WHY.

Overall median price in Redmond is up 66% from 2001. Based on that true fact”:

1) A seller (erroneously) lists his home at 66% more than he paid for it in 2001. The house was built in 1985. He paid $350,000 + 66% + “negotiating room” = $599,950. He lists it at the highest possible price he can “reasonably” get for it. And he wants at least $575,000. This based on an article he reads saying Median Home Price in Redmond is up 66%, which is true…but not for HIM.

2) A buyer who reads my blog sees that 66% only applies if you include homes built in or after 1990. He sees that the % increase for homes built in Redmond prior to 1990 carry a median price of 42% more than 2001, vs 66% more. So while the “lowest price” the seller will accept is $575,000, the highest price he might be willing to pay is $500,000. We’d need to test homes built in the 80’s vs ALL homes built prior to 1990 to know for sure what a “reasonable” price for that home would be.

3) A person refinancing may expect it to appraise at $580,000, using the same logic as the seller in 1) BUT the appraiser may come up with $550,000 based on “3 comps”. This assuming the “average buyer” will pay closer to what the seller wants, than what the property is actually “worth”. An appraiser only looks at what people paid recently, not whether or not those few buyers were correct in determining “price to pay”.

There’s Good Reason why The #1 Question in Real Estate is what is THIS home WORTH?”

It’s one of the hardest questions to answer correctly. Keeping up on where home prices are generally (early 2005 levels) gives you a leg up on simply “What is the seller willing to take?”. But local stats can be misleading, if you don’t take the time to take it down to Apples to Apples.

Information is of Great Value! Knowing how to apply that information…is PRICELESS.

Seattle Area Home Prices Hit New Low

King County Home Prices hit a new low in January of 2011. There’s definitely something a little odd going on, as median home prices do not usually fall by $32,000 in one month. But then November and December of 2010 should not likely have gone up as much as they did, unless the market is positioned to start ramping upward, which no one really expects to happen.

The only conclusion is the market is teetering on WTH to we do NOW! …or lot’s of people read my Oh NO! People are starting to overpay for houses again post.

No more tax credits, market should have gone down. But 2010 ended higher than it began. Totally unexpected and irrational.

Take a look for yourself. The blue $ is the King County Median Home Price in Thousands. The red blocks mark the bottom of the decline from PEAK Pricing in July of 2007 to March of 2009 and the second red block is where we are now at the end of January 2011. The first number in each 3 number sequence is number of homes closed. The middle number is the halfway point (median) as to units sold. Some are not exactly half as more than the perfect number sold at the same price to stop at exactly half sold for more and half sold for less.

Example: Jan 2011 824-413-$350 means 824 homes sold and 413 of them sold for $350,000+.

A NEW low!

bottom chart

The quarterly median graphs on the right above show you that in a flat market a year ends about where it started as to 1st and 4th quarter and the 2nd and 3rd quarters are usually higher. That is what they call “Spring Bump” and what a “normal” relatively flat year looks like.

Now let’s look at where King County Home Prices are BACK TO with this NEW LOW.

2004-2005 prices

NOT at 2004 pricing YET…but very close. A small $5,000 drop from here will put us at December 2004 level.

At the moment, as you can see in the above graph, we are at February 2005 pricing.

We had been running at or above April 2005 pricing for quite some time. For years…many years,and consistently for the last two years. So this new low is quite a “newsworthy” event.

I think we will “Spring” back up to $375,000ish pretty quickly…but for now, we have a new low. What will cause the rise up? Some people with really nice houses who are not upside down getting on market and listing their homes. There are more buyers today than there are nice homes, priced well, to buy. But I expect that to change, and for prices to get back up to the $375,000 level fairly quickly. If not in February, than by April at the latest.

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(Required Disclosure: Stats in this post and in the charts in this post are not compiled or published by The Northwest Multiple Listing Service.)

How to find your “Dream Home”

Finding your Dream Home starts with determining if you can afford your Dream Home. Let’s say you have decided that you want a two story house, one with at least 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor. Now add that you work at the main Microsoft Campus and want a home within a reasonable distance to work.

Start by taking out a map and drawing the area within which you would like to live. For the purpose of this example, I drew the map based on where most of my clients who want to live near Microsoft draw these lines. For example, most wouldn’t live on Finn Hill, so Finn Hill is not in this sampling. Most would not live in Bothell. So Bothell is not in this sampling. I can’t use a “radius” of the campus, as most don’t consider the other side of Lake Sammamish to be better than a little “further” in pure distance into Kirkland vs “around” the Lake. So I’m using a polygon, many sided, map area.

Your “mapped area” may vary, but use this as a guide, and apply to your own mapped area.

I’m using a “12 month rolling basis” here to include the most recent data and exclude the oldest data, and yet still have enough sales in the sampling to produce enough relevant data. For the most part it is 2010, but includes the most recent data available in Jan. 2011 to date, and excludes the oldest info from Jan of 2010.

Before you go out looking at houses, you want to begin with some reasonable expectations.

graph (26)

The Data above tells us that the majority of two story homes in the mapped area sold over the last 12 months existed in zip codes 98052, 98033 and 98004. Now let’s look at price.
graph (28)

I only used some of the data to produce this post. You can see the rest of the raw data HERE.

By using these simple techniques, you can easily see that you likely need to spend about $650,000 give or take and look in 98052 and 98033 primarily. But what if you want to spend $500,000 and want a home that is not older than 5 years.

Simple…just test that parameter.

98052 2-story built in 2006 or later sold in the last 365 days for $500,000 or less = one house.

98033 there was also only one house sold fitting those parameters, but it was far from being finished new construction. There is also one in pending. Both required cash buyers as the property was not in a condition that could be financed.

So now you have to ask yourself, is “The Dream” a “house” or a “home”? Do you change the “what” and look for an older home of a different style in a great neighborhood with a great school? Or do you up the price in order to get everything you want, if you can afford it, but didn’t “want” to spend more than $500,000?

Point is, you don’t have to go out to “look” for your Dream House before testing your Dream against Reality. Setting a realistic objective saves you time and maybe money as well. By staying home and making this decision, you may opt to keep the price low and change your expectations as to house. If you get too vested in the outcome of “newer 2 story house of not more than 5 years old”, you may start pushing on price to get “it”.

Consider all of the factors of “dream home” including neighborhood and schools, before getting your heart set on one particular style or age of home.

December 2010 King County SFH

There’s a big hoo-ha brewing over the December 2010 “increase” in home sales. Not to worry. It’s more of a “Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics” argument, than a true market change of any kind.
bottom chart

As you can see in the chart above, prices are still trailing along the bottom from the price in the red block of March 2009.

Volume for the 4th Quarter is higher than 2008 and lower than 2009. The December up is simply a correction for November down. That correction could simply be a matter of reportings vs actual closings OR it could simply be longer loan processing times throwing some November closings into December.

Don’t worry about the noise, but do worry that more home buyers seem to be overpaying for homes these days than they have been for a couple of years. There is no market trend that will cover up those kinds of mistakes.
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Required Disclosure: The Stats in the above chart are compiled be ARDELL and are NOT compiled, verified or posted by The Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

Note: The primary variance in my numbers vs other reportings is that most count townhomes in Seattle but not elsewhere. I even that out by not counting townhomes at all.

Real Estate – “Proceeding in Good Faith”

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Real Estate Transactions have long depended on the underlying principle of “Proceeding in Good Faith”. It’s not something that we talk about much, as it is something we pretty much take for granted.

I raise this issue today as Craig has mentioned it a few times this year in his posts and comments, and most recently the other day in his post regarding “Good Faith Home Inspection Negotiations”.

Before we can discuss how “Proceeding in Good Faith” applies to the Home Inspection specifically, we need to discuss how “Proceeding in Good Faith” applies to all real estate transactions, generally. When we are talking about this principle in real estate, we are talking about the Buyer and the Seller who are the “Parties To” the transaction. It is not about agents except to the extent that they represent someone who is acting and proceeding in good faith. Consequently the presence or absence of real estate agents in the transaction neither heightens nor diminishes the importance of the good faith process.

Good Faith BEGINS with a seller who wants to sell and a buyer who wants to buy. One would think this is always the case, but it is not. NO ONE can PROCEED “in good faith” if these two things are not present from the getgo.

While it may be hard for some to believe, not everyone who has their home listed for sale has the intent of actually selling it (at the price at which it will actually sell), and not everyone who makes a written offer actually has the intent of buying (that particular house). Who is and who is not Proceeding in Good Faith…well, that gets a little complicated.

Buyer Says: “What’s wrong with this seller? Is he REALLY going to Let This Sale Fall Apart over a $150 fix to a leak under the sink?”

Seller Says: “Well it’s a good thing that buyer DIDN”T buy my house, He oviously did NOT want it, if he was willing to walk away from it over a $150 fix to a leak under a sink! Anyone who is not willing to fix a leak under a sink shouldn’t be a Home OWNER Period!”

Craig, in his post linked in this one says: ” As a general rule, I think “good faith

Why the Lender may “reduce” Your Gross Income

Gross Income is sometimes a subjective factor, modified at The Underwriter’s discretion. Most often that is the case whenever ANY part of the borrowers Gross Income is derived from overtime, bonus or commission, or the entire Gross Income is based on hourly wages vs salaried wages.

EVERY AGENT should understand these BASICS, as WE often know our clients longer and better than the lender who is giving you a pre-approval letter to attach to the buyer’s offer. At a minimum, every agent should know that if their client is not purely “on salary”, there may be some bumps along the way that may turn a preapproval into a loan denial.

Even if the lender did a full preapproval process, The Underwriter may require the employer to make a written statement regarding future bonus or commission or overtime income, that the employer will not put in writing. That can happen in any case, and sometimes a few days before closing, no matter how careful the loan originator was in gathering information prior to producing the preapproval letter.

AGENTS should know when the preapproval MAY be based on the “wrong facts”, especially when you are getting a preapproval letter with short notice, and the lender knows the client for 15 minutes prior to giving the agent what they need to get the offer submitted quickly. Fully delegating this responsibility to the lender is inappropriate. An agent should know when to give the lender a “heads up” that $100,000 may indeed be “current” gross income, BUT it is likely that The Underwriter at the end of the day WILL NOT count ALL of that $100,000!

Getting a mortgage is not an “entitlement”…it is a business decision. Below are examples of how Lenders have historically “viewed” Gross Income calculations in most cases. But know that The Underwriter has the discretion to modify “as needed” based on inconsistencies.

First let’s look at the basic chart I made for the purpose of further discussion:
gross income

Column One: Salaried Income is almost always counted at current “face” value. Even if you just got a significant raise just prior to making an offer on the house, the lender will usually count it all. They will require at least one and often two paystubs at the NEW amount as proof that the raise is in effect, and ALL of the monies have to be salary vs hourly or bonus or commission based.

Column Two: If your wages are based on an hourly amount, RARELY will the Lender count it at its current annual amount based on today’s hourly wage. I don’t necessarily agree that hourly based wage earners should be treated differently than salaried ones, but I don’t make “the rules”.

If your hourly rate increased from $16 an hour to $24 an hour over the last two years, you normally need A FULL TWO YEAR HISTORY of earnings at the new hourly amount of $24, for the Lender to use that as your Gross Income. If you earned $16 an hour in 2009 and $19 an hour in 2010 and you WILL BE making $24 an hour in 2011, the Lender will usually average your annual wages of 2009 and 2010 and count your income at only $16 + $19 divided by two at ONLY $17.50 an hour vs the $24 that you are now making. Terrible, but true. They actually average your total earnings (not including overtime) for the two years, vs the hourly number.

HUGELY important for an agent and a lender to know if your wages are based on an hourly amount before issuing a preapproval letter.

Again, I really don’t think that it is fair, as I have had clients with an over 20 year history with the same employer (Boeing) whose income was stated on an hourly vs salaried basis. Why that counts as “lesser” in the eyes of lenders, I don’t know. Just is, in MOST if not all cases.

I also included an odd example in Column Two of The Underwriter deciding that if your income reduced by 20% that maybe that will happen again in the future. Once The Underwriter is in “their discretion” territory, there really is a lot of room for The Underwriter to do pretty much whatever they deem necessary to be comfortable with approving the loan. If there is a declining income vs an increasing income…expect problems and delays and be prepared for a potentially very bumpy ride to the “approved and funded” day.

Column Three: Bonus income is calculated the same as hourly income…a two year average. So if your income is part salary and part bonus, the safest way to proceed is based on the salaried portion only, especially if the bonus income is a small amount. If you do want to include the bonus income, you need to know that not only will the lender require a consistent history of bonus income, BUT may require your employer to put in writing that they expect that level of bonus to continue for X period of time into the future.

In these economic times it is The Underwriter’s Discretion regarding how much to count OVERTIME and/or BONUS income. They may decide not to count it at all unless your employer is willing to guarantee that extra income for several years out from now.

Column Four: There is no Column Four BUT if there were a Column Four it would be for people whose ENTIRE income is commission based. Also in Column Four would be people whose entire income comes from a business venture.

Also, regardless of income source, if you are applying for a JUMBO loan…well, just about anything can happen. The number of hoops one may have to jump through to get a JUMBO loan are many and varied and change from lender to lender and from one minute to the next.

Likely the biggest snafu that can happen unexpectedly is when someone owns a rental property. Maybe one of the Lending Professionals can help with this in the comment section of the post. Suffice it to say that the Lender does not look at rental income the same way that someone who owns a rental does…not at all. They only count 75% of the rent as income, while counting all of the mortgage payment on the rental property as an expense. So if you think that $2,000 rent wipes away the $2,000 mortgage payment and is “a wash”…not so. So if you own a rental property, make sure you make that fact known BEFORE getting a preapproval letter and before making an offer on a house.

Last but not least is you cannot count the Rental Income of a property you are buying as a rental. Yes, we know you will be getting rent, but that rent is not counted AT ALL because you have no HISTORY of rental income from that property at time of purchase. Two or three years from now you can count that rental income when doing a refinance, but at time of purchase…you have to qualify to buy it without considering the income you will derive from it.

Some day when you are wondering why EVERY escrow that had a preapproval does not close…you may want to come back and read this again.

You Should Not Be Buying a House If You Don’t Get This