Party on the Seattle Monorail Project…

Drinks for PartyOn the assumption that the monorail board doesn’t find a way to revive it’s dying patient, the Puget Sound Business Journal had an interesting article on what might happen with the 34 properties that the Seattle Monorail Project (SMP) has already purchased. They mention that some of the properties, like the 7-11 store in Ballard, could fetch a quite a lot of money on the open market. I was surprised to find that through the process of eminent domain, the SMP could only offer the “appraised value” for the properties they bought. I (wrongly) assumed that the SMP was giving property owners some type of premium (on top of “relocations costs”).

I have no numbers to back this up whatsoever, but wouldn’t be ironic if the Seattle Monorail Project was able to close up shop having made a profit from all the properties that they bought at appraised values?

Real estate and coffee… It’s so obvious in retrospect

All Seattle real estate agents should be holding our heads down in shame today as we let a company out of Jackson, Mississippi Michigan open a the world’s first real estate cafe.

It seems so obvious in retrospect! I imagine just about every agent in Seattle has had at least one meeting with a client in a coffee shop (heck, many of us run our entire operations out of coffee shops!), but none of us ever took the initiative to open up a cafe devoted to the real estate arts!

By the way, if there are any Starbuck executives reading my blog, I just thought I’d let you know I’d be willing to discuss ways of teaming on a real estate cafe venture! You guys have been focusing too much on music lately… There’s definitely more money in real estate!

Story via Inman News.

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UPDATE: One of my readers has been kind enough to let me know that this is not the world’s first real estate cafe, as as a matter of fact, Bill Wendel out of Cambridge, MA has been hosting a real estate cafe since 1995. None the less, my offer to Starbucks executives still holds!

New Monorail Director

The PI is reporting that the Monorail project has a new director

A top transportation consultant who worked on the Las Vegas monorail system has been picked to temporarily run Seattle’s troubled monorail project, weeks before a city-imposed deadline for determining whether the line should survive.

John Haley Jr. of the firm Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. was announced this evening as the interim executive director. Haley has extensive transit and transportation experience, including stints as deputy executive director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and general manager of the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority.

“He knows his job is to come in and help us figure out what to do,” including possibly abandoning the project, said board member Cleve Stockmeyer, head of a search committee. “He has committed to be objective.”

My hope is that he can bring the project back from the dead, but that’s probably too much to ask of a transportation consultant! 🙂

UPDATE: The Stranger presents the first positive article on the monorail I’ve seen in quite a while…

Winning isn’t everything…

Rollin Sand SailingI know it is no good to laugh at the misfortune of others, but some people make it really hard…

The Seattle Times highlights the troubles of a group of people who bought land “sight-unseen” at an auction only to find out that the land they bought was not what they expected… Some highlights include:

  • The guy who bought 640 acres of desert land in Nevada for $75,000 only to find out later that it is about a mile from the nearest road, and there is no easement across adjoining land for access.
  • The guy (with photo) who bought land for his retirement home near the Skagit River, only to find out that the the town officials won’t let him build on the land because it is in a major flood plain.

I remember when the story of this action first made the press it was obvious to the casual reader that the land they were selling was not necessarily of the highest quality.

While we’re on off-beat real estate stories, check out this story on how NOT to handle an eviction notice from Behind the Mortgage…

One good faith estimate isn’t good enough…

[photopress:Cats.JPG,thumb,alignright]In reading Elizabeth Rhodes response to an interest-only loan question, I realized that it has been a while since I talked about my uncomfort with interest only mortgages… I think way too many people are using them as a last resort to get into a house. When interest rates start rising, a lot of people could find out that they have bitten off more than they can chew.

The particular question Elizabeth was answering was in regards to whether or not someone should stick with a mortgage broker that made them feel uncomfortable… She gave an appropriate response (concluding that the client should walk away from this broker) but missed out on giving some truly useful advice that could really minimize this issue. What she could have said: “Get more than one quote!” or “You’re making a mistake by using only one broker anyway.”

In practical terms, “getting more than one quote” means getting at least two good faith estimates. At a minimum, you should get an estimate from at least one on-line banks and one local broker. If I ever create my own set of top 10 rules for a home buyer, getting two good faith estimates would be at the very top. No one has to tell you that you’re making a huge investment when you buy your home. By making loan brokers compete, it is entirely possible to get a much lower rate. Even saving just two-tenths of a percent on your loan can add up to thousands of dollars in the long run.

If you want some more detail, I wrote a bunch more on getting a home loan last March that stills seems relevant.

Catching up…

I haven’t blogged in a little while, but that is not because there is a lack of interesting things to talk about. All kinds of interesting things have been happening on the real estate front, so I’m going to attempt to catch up all in one huge post.

First off, I joined up with the Real Estate Blog Squad. The idea behind this group is that lots of real estate agents would team together to blog about topics related to the National Assn. of REALTORS® annual convention and exposition that will be going on October 28-31, 2005. In reality, I have no idea what will come out of this group, but I’m happy to take part in the experiment.

Redwood TreeNext I wanted to talk about a local news items from this previous week… Seattle Times: Seattle market: Distorted prices — or room to grow? The Seattle Times ran an article about a story I covered about the riskiest cities to live in… The only reason I mention it is that the article says: “The word went out on CNN. It ran in The Christian Science Monitor. A Seattle real-estate blog reported it, and it earned the cover-story spot on msn.com’s money page.” I’m pretty sure that I’m the only Seattle blogger that covered this story, so I’m going to hazard a guess that the Seattle Times real estate writer is now reading my blog! Welcome Elizabeth Rhodes! I definitely read just about everything you write!

After an absence of 5 days, I enjoyed reading this post from Counter Intelligence that described a situation that I’m sure is familiar to many real estate bloggers: “I’ve got to post a new article today or I’m going to lose readers.” I was surprised to hear that counter Intelligence lost 90% of their daily hits after 50 days of not posting. Contrary to the idea you might get by reading this recent article from National Association of Realtors (NAR), real estate blogging is hard work. Let this serve as a warning to real estate agents who are thinking of diving into blogging. Writing an interesting post on a daily basis is tough stuff. Make sure that you enjoy writing. Make sure that you enjoy keeping up on the news. Real estate blogs like Hot Property have an inherent advantage in that it would be so much easier with multiple bloggers all posting to the same site. Ideally, Rain City Guide will someday get about 5 of 6 different real estate agents who post articles on a regular basis. That way, any one of the agents can take a week off when they get burned out without the site suffering a blackout period.

Funny headline of the week… The Ballard News-Tribune (a local paper with a malfunctioning website) had this title for their August 3, 2005 issue: “We could get monorail first.” The article went on to describe how the Ballard segment of the Monorails Greenline would likely get built before other sections. This begs the question: Do the writers of the Ballard News-Tribune read other newspapers? . Do they know that the monorail is much closer to dead than ever being built at this point. The mayor of Seattle has given the monorail an September 15th deadline to come up with a plan or he is going to kill the entire project. The entire organization is in shambles.

Jeremy Zawodny had an interesting analysis of the insane housing market of Silicon Valley. The fact that home prices continue to rise at astronomically fast rates in Seattle, makes me glad to live in Seattle…

I think I bunched enough stuff together for one post, but I there are so many more stories to talk about… I’m just about ready to publish my first podcast for Rain City Guide. I’ve been working late into the night to create an updated MLS home search on top of google maps (nothing is ready to demonstrate yet!). Curbed nominated the “hotest” real estate agents in NY City (do we need something like that for Seattle? 🙂 )

UPDATE:
. I imagine Bill Wendel over at Counter Intelligence will get a kick out of learning that even some at Wired News have been getting burned out on technology lately!

Median house price jumps 14% in King County

cat in windowThe Seattle Times ran an article that tried to dive into why home prices have continued to increase.

In King County last month, the number of sales fell 6 percent as a quarter fewer properties were listed for sale compared with July 2004, the Northwest Multiple Listing Service said yesterday in its July home-sale report. Strong competition for the best among them — again — sent median prices through the roof, up 14 percent in King and Snohomish counties.

I find it especially interesting that a quarter fewer properties were listed this July over one year ago. Even with the substantial increase in properties people are simple not interested in moving. I think this phenomena really gets to the heart of why home prices have increased so substantially… and makes me more confident that were not experiencing a bubble. With a smaller supply of homes in livable urban communities, I’m convinced that the increase is simply a result of an increased demand.

Some sellers are making the move now to take advantage of low mortgage interest rates. But in general, there’s little research into what propels owners to sell.

“We have a lot of good data on why people buy homes, but in terms of why people sell, we don’t ask the question,” said Walter Molony, spokesman for the National Association of Realtors. “We assume it’s a lifestyle choice. Whether it’s the right time, that’s a very individual evaluation.”

In her classes, Pelascini has noted that sellers usually have a concrete reason to sell, but not necessarily one that prompts them to act immediately. That’s particularly true for empty-nesters.

A conversation between Seattle and NY

sculptures two headsThe stranger had a fun article this week by Mike Daisey where he compares Seattle to New York… It’s not always flattering for Seattle (or NY), but it is definitely a lot of fun to read… There are a bunch of great lines in the article, but this paragraph is the highlight:

If I could bring New York and Seattle to the table and make them learn from each other, I’d wish that New York could pick up some of Seattle’s table manners, and Seattle’s earnest desire for things to turn out well, which is replaced in New York with snark. And in Seattle I’d point to the subway and say, “Learn from this. Consensus isn’t everything—show some spine, suck it up, and learn how to take a punch.” Then we’d have dinner together. New York would be loud and rude all night, and Seattle would say nothing, but go home and blog about New York’s behavior mercilessly and anonymously.

What is Zillow up to?

beach homeI’ve been following a Seattle-based real estate start-up ever since someone left a comment on my site a month ago… So far the details are very limited, but a recent press release (via Seattle Property News), indicates that Zillow has recently added some very impressive names to their board. These include:

  • The former Chief Executive Officer of Expedia, Inc., Erik Blachford was most recently CEO of IAC/InterActiveCorp’s travel division, including online travel businesses Expedia, Hotels.com, Hotwire, Classic Custom Vacations and Interval International. Erik is a graduate of Princeton University and holds a Masters in Business Administration from Columbia University Graduate School of Business.
  • Currently President and Chief Financial Officer of Oracle, Greg Maffei has also served as CFO of Microsoft Corp. Most recently, Greg was Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of 360networks Corp. He is a graduate of Dartmouth College, and holds a Masters in Business Administration from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar.
  • Gordon Stephenson is the co-founder and Managing Broker of Real Property Associates (RPA), one of the largest independent real estate brokerages in the Northwest. He oversees more than 40 agents and brokers in their sales activities, and continues to personally represent buyers and sellers. Prior to founding RPA in 1991, Gordon was a Seattle-based Associate Broker with both Prudential MacPhersons and Windermere Real Estate. He is a graduate of Stanford University, with a Bachelor of Arts (AB) in Economics.

Want more? Here are some of my notes with links:

UPDATE:
David Chase seems pretty impressed with the addition of Gordon Stephenson to the Zillow Board. “The lack of knowledge of the idiosyncrasies of the real estate market was a key issue that I thought would impair them (Zillow) — it looks like they are starting to plug that gap.”

What to look for in your first real estate company

houseI read a great post the other day about a woman who is looking to become a real estate agent. This inspired me to think of what type of advice would I like to give to aspiring agents, and I’ve come up with these six things to consider in a real estate agency:

1) Broker Compentition. In general, be weary of firms where your broker also acts as an agent. There is enough compentition in the industry so that you shouldn’t have to compete with your broker for a listing.

2) Training. Just about every company will market their wonderful and unique training opertunities. Get the details. Are their classes offered in your office or do you have to travel far? Who’s teaching the classes? How much do they cost? The best real estate agent are always learning new things.

3) Office fees and commission structure. In general, there is a trade off with most agencies. Sometimes the monthy fees are high, but you get to keep a much larger portion of your commission. Other companies have low monthly fees, but take a larger portion of your commissions. Along these lines, office fees might very anywhere from $50 to $1000 for a month. Also, make sure you ask about all the fees. Is there a cost to use the office supplies, like copy machine or fax machines?

4) Office atmosphere. Are there experienced agents around who can give you advice and help you if needed? There will probably be times when your broker will be unavailable… Is there someone else to help you out?

5) Location. Is the office near your home, so you can get there on short notice? Is the office close to the market you want to concentrate on? Is it convenient for your clients?

6) Successful agents. Also know that when you begin, a great way to get clients is by doing open houses. Being part of an office with lots of succesful agents can mean that you can host their open houses when they are too busy. Are their lots of successful agents in the office?

Most importantly, make sure you interview a bunch of real estate companies. Just about every agency has a different feel to it. Interview enough and you are sure to find a company that will suit you. If you are interested in interviewing with Keller Williams, let me know and I can introduce you to the appropriate people!

To help you along, I’ve compiled this list (almost entirely compiled by Seattle Property News with just a few additions by me) that lists the residential real estate agencies in Seattle. The list is not exhaustive, but does include most of the companies that have practicing agents.

If you want to find agents, instead of agencies, the google directory provide a pretty comprehensive list of agents with websites.