Tag Archives: Local-News

Monorail Death Watch

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monorail's green lineInspired by Timothy Noah’s Death Watch (the latest regarding Karl Rove) series on slate, I’m tempted to start something on the Monorail as the whole operation seems to be in a death spiral lately… However, rather than go for the jugular, I’ve decided to give my view on how the monorail’s future became so dire.

After the defeat of Initiative 83 that would have effectively banned the monorail, the project seemed on a high. The monorail supporters (rightfully) saw the overwhelming support as a great sign in that the project could now move forward with the full support of the City (at least at the highest levels of the City government). However, as the negotiations between the sole-bidding contractor and the monorail agency dragged on, support seemed to wane. I heard numerous times from people who said that they were tired of all the delays and their support was waning with each passing day.

The latest crop of news began when the monorail announced on June 3rd that an tentative agreement had been reached with the prime contractor for the (relatively unusual) design, build AND operate contract.

On June 21, more details of the agreement were released to the public. This set into motion a series of articles documenting the total cost of the proposal. The Times has a decent article, while the PI put out sensationalist piece giving the total projects costs as “$11 billion”. This holds the monorail up to a higher standard than any other public project and is really just bad economics. For example, it is like saying the price you paid for your $400,000 home ballooned to $1,200,000 because that is the total amount you will pay over the life of your loan. The worst part of this journalism is that I’ve heard numerous individuals quote this number as if the cost of the monorail jumped from $1.7B to $11B overnight. This type of apples to oranges comparison seems irresponsible of the Seattle PI…

If the monorail fails someday, I would say that a definitely turning point happened around the time of the PI’s “$11 billion” article. After that, the Monorail Board and the City Council members had to start explaining economics in order to justify their positions, and this became a no-win situation. Both the Times and the PI ran articles describing how support was quickly evaporating.

Seattle Center FountainThen on July 1, the Monorail board rejected the complicated 50-year financing scheme which led to the resignation of Project Executive Director Joel Horn and Board Chairman Tom Weeks. The Seattle Weekly has since written a scathing article about Joel Horn.

Does this mean that the monorail project is dead in Seattle? Not necessarily. The acting director is working hard to attact a new director and sway public opinion back in favor of the monorail. However, the odds are definitely against the monorail at this point.

On Friday (7/15) the editorial board from the Seattle PI, which has generally been a supporter of the monorail, gave an editorial which asks for the final nail to be put in the coffin of the project. (This had the anti-monorail voices over at the Sound Politics blog jumping for joy, or as one writer put it: “Stunned. Encouraged, but stunned.”)

Can’t get enough monorail information? Here’s a list of my resources:

monorail image is a negative?

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proposed monorail image Interestingly, when I saw the above image in the Seattle Times today, I thought, “That looks kind of cool.” It was only after I read the article headline (“Monorail foes decry “wall”‘) that I found out that the image was suppose to show how ugly 2nd Avenue would be with the monorail. There are definitely some good reasons to be against a monorail in Seattle, but showing images of a built up downtown environment does not do it for me!

Thanks to City Comfort Blog for pointing this issue out. I probably wouldn’t have thought to blog the obvious contradiction until I read your post.

Housing Bubble- To Pop or not to Pop?

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[photopress:Bubble_boy_2.jpg,thumb,alignright]Talk to anyone today on the subject of real estate and soon it turns into a discussion about the impending housing bubble and whether or not it is going to burst all over your investment dreams. How worried should we really be?

This article in the Seattle PI explained the situation both nationally and locally rather well. It seems that the question is not really whether the housing bubble will pop (if it even exists) but rather what impact that would have on your housing investment if it happened. All investments are risks. Arm yourself with knowledge and make the best choice for you and your situation and hopefully you can avoid getting “bubble” all over your face!

Interested in Pre-foreclosures?

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Exit 3On Saturday, the Seattle PI hyped pre-forclosures:

A good place to find these cash-flush speculators is at foreclosure auctions, according to longtime Tampa, Fla., property investor Tom Lucier, author of “The Pre-Foreclosure Property Investor’s Kit.” But by the time a property reaches the auction block, it’s probably worthless as a short-term investment. The trick is to find the distressed property in pre-foreclosure.

Pre-foreclosure is that period of time between when the lender files a foreclosure lawsuit or notice of default in the public records and the date the property is to be sold at public auction or trustee’s sale.

Redfin — The Anti-Google

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[photopress:sasha_with_troll.JPG,thumb,alignright]I’m extremely disappointed in the latest direction that Redfin has taken and I’d like to use this post to explain why I’ve completely stopped doing business with them.

For those of you not familiar, Redfin is a company that has developed a really great aerial technology for viewing MLS data. When they came out, I signed up as a “Redfin Agent” because their technology was superior to anything else available for searching the MLS. In previous blog entries I’ve mentioned how great their technology is.

How did they plan to make money? In the simplest sense, their business plan involved displaying MLS information via an intuitive interface using aerial images. When prospective clients would look for a home, Redfin would direct them to local real estate agents. After the prospective clients purchased a home, the real estate agent would send a portion of the closing commissions (20%) back to Redfin. By repacking the MLS data in a new way and getting real estate agents to promote them, they hoped to take the industry by storm. However, their site must not be nearly as popular as they hoped because their newest business venture turns them into a discount real estate company.

However, I wouldn’t write this blog entry if they were just another discount real estate agency. I don’t have a problem with discount real estate agencies and I think they provide a useful service for a subset of sellers (and besides, they keep us full-service agents on our toes!). The reason I write this article is that Redfin went from being a partner with real estate agents to a competitor. I think they assumed they could use the goodwill that they’ve built up with agents to slip a fast one on us.

The worst part is that Redfin didn’t have to go that route. Early on, I talked with them about licensing their technology to display MLS over my site. When the showed only passing interest, I decided to develop the MLS Search Engine myself… And while my technology is still in the infant stage, I’ve found a way to display MLS data over aerial photos (so don’t believe their front-page marketing that says that are the only ones doing this!).

If you are currently a “redfin agent” (like I was!), please join me in severing your business relationship with Redfin until they decide to join us again as a partner. As Redfin doesn’t offer a way to “delete” your account, I recommend doing the next best thing. To delist yourself from their database, go to: http://www.redfin.com/stingray/do/my-redfin. Log in using your username and password. Click “edit your profile

Seattle ranked as one of the healthiest cities

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swimmersWith all the great bike and pedestrian trails around, I don’t think it would surprise most locals to find out that Seattle ranked #4 in a list of the country’s healthiest cities:

The Seattle metro area had the study’s best scores in the areas of physical activity and lifestyle pursuits. Respondents here reported the highest level of vigorous exercise. Seattlites had high rates of diabetes, hypertension and, yes, sleeplessness.

Another great reason to live in Seattle!

Home equity

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living room 01The Seattle Times had an interesting article regarding home equity building rapidly in our fast moving real estate market and investors using home equity to make more speculative investments:

According to Economy.com, Americans pulled out roughly $705 billion of equity from their homes last year, up from $266 billion in 1999.

The bulk of that money came from capital gains made by people selling houses, and these profits often are used to purchase another residence.

Many people also use some of the extracted cash to pay off credit-card debt, which is widely viewed as a sensible way to use equity. Another large chunk of the equity withdrawn goes into home improvements. Spending on such projects totaled $138.3 billion last year, up 38 percent from five years before, according to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies.

Where are the sellers?

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Richard and Alice on a BikeThe Seattle Times highlights the fact that there are fewer sellers in the Seattle Market than last year:

According to May statistics released yesterday by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service, the number of available King County houses and condominiums was off by 31 percent compared with a year ago.

The reason?
I’d tend to agree with Judy Hay’s assessment from the article that:

The lack of inventory is at least partially the result of a shift in homeowners’ thinking. A year and a half ago, she says, they were trading homes simply because they wanted something else. Not now.

Unless there is some reason to move, they’re not doing it. They’ve refinanced and they’re saying, ‘Let’s remodel and stay where we’re at.’

The lack of sellers is all the more surprising considering the median home price in Seattle has risen 17% in the past year.

It seems to me that trying to time the market (whether real estate or stocks) is a game that should be left to the professionals! However, it is just common sense that Seattle home owners even remotely considering selling their home should talk to a real estate agent to find out how much their home would probably fetch on the open market. If you’re interested, I’d be happy to provide a free home valuation report.

King County Home Appreciation

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AppreciationThe Seattle Times put together an informative graphic that illustrates homes home appreciated by neighborhood between 2003 and 2004. No surprise in that every single neighborhood in King County experienced increase values:

Thanks to low interest rates, last year was a record-breaker that saw 31,333 single-family home sales and 9.8 percent appreciation on a per-square-foot basis. That’s the highest since 1999 and well above 2003’s 4.2 percent. But one thing remained constant: Appreciation varied greatly among neighborhoods, ranging from 31.6 percent in Newport Shores and Kennydale to 3.2 percent in Lake Youngs, between Kent and Renton.

The top five neighborhoods in terms of appreciation were Newport Shores/Kennydale (31.6%), South Central West Seattle (22.7%), Madison Park (22.6%), West Shoreline (17.1%), and East Ballard (15.1%).

Seattle Public Library Resources

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spiderDid you know that you can get the full-text of on-line newspapers through the Seattle Library? I read an article describing how many libraries provide full-text access (on-line) to magazines and newspapers that would normally charge fees for such access:

It’s impossible to list every database available from every public library since resources vary amongst libraries. Simply visit your local library’s web site, or give them a call and ask what’s available and how to gain access. It’s a painless process that can be accomplished in a matter of minutes.

After reading the article, I was pleasantly surprised to find many great resources available on the Seattle Library Website. While just scratching the surface, I’ve already found current and archived collections of all 18 Washington State Newspapers, Technology Review, and Harper’s Magazine. The only catch is that you will need a Seattle Library card in order to access many of the databases.)