Category Archives: Seattle Real Estate Guide

Seattle has many wonderful communities and on the blog posts below you can out stories that talk about some of these communities. If you’re looking for more information about communities then considering checking out our post on relocating to Seattle.

Neighborhood Roundup: Breaking the Espresso Rut

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Creating the list of active neighborhood blogs was only the first step in my grand vision… (or is it Greg that has the grand neighborhood vision?) Okay… Maybe there is no grand plan, but I thought it would be fun to give a roundup of recent neighborhood posts…

The West Seattle Blog has turned to Cafe Rozella to break out of an espresso rut and is “really impressed”.

Dave at the Learning from Lake City expanded my skatepark world view considerably… Skatedots? Skatepots? Districts? Regionals? Who knew?

Georgetown Stew highlights a scam where people are not only taking advantage of day laborers, but it gets worse…

Not only are some folks in South Park being stiffed out of their wages, the employer(s) are apparently asking the workers for their home address, with the promise that a paycheck will arrive in the mail. And then the surprise arrives. Not a check, but officers from Immigration & Naturalization show up.

Beach Drive gives us a beautiful photo of a brave soul on the Sound…

Linked a day too soon to the Outer Limits blog… Ericka announced that she was moving on (thanks to a job!) and looking for a replacement…

The Miller Park Neighborhood Association blog is looking to get people out at an upcoming (March 28th) Sound Transit meeting to show support for lightrail on the eastside…

The Kirkland Weblog highlighted a great new photo blog out of Kirkland… The idea (as I understand it) is that the author of Kirkland 52 is planning to post photos of Kirkland once a week over the next year.

The Capitol Hill Seattle blog indulges their love of maps with an interesting map of voter patterns on the Viaduct Replacement. (PI Article)

The Belltown Bent highlights an award given by a Harvard Group to Weiss/Manfredi Architects for their work on the Olympic Sculpture Park.

Ballard Avenue wallows a bit in the transportation history of Ballard… I think the photo makes the post.

Another item to add to Daylight Savings Time changes… batteries and power cords

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I’ve written a few articles about fire prevention one of them linked here: link with respect to a site that has lots of fire prevention tips. I’ve also written about the dangers of space heaters.

Today I want to write about the dangers of old, or overheating electrical cords, specifically, if you are using extension cords or multi-outlet cords in your home. We all do it. In fact, recently I updated all the outlet cords in our home office because we couldn’t remember how old the ones were that we were using. Plus, we upgraded some power surge protectors for those outlet cords that were being used for our office equipment like computers and printers.

What got me thinking about this post though was what I read as I was reviewing a condominium resale certificate for a client the other night. In two months of the Home Owner’s Association board meeting minutes were remarks about fires that had started in individual units over the course of about 6 months. This association only has 67 units and 2 units had experienced fires only a few months apart from each other. While that is a small percentage overall it is still scary that if either of these fires had gotten out of control many more units would have been affected. Granted, this is a building from 1992 so it should have a sprinkler system and hardwired smoke detectors and thankfully both fires were stopped within the units walls. But, what about those buildings that are grandfathered against these requirements? You can see where I’m going with this as we’ve all read stories of those kinds of buildings burning and people being hurt or killed.

It’s imperative that anyone using extension cords be careful and to check or replace them regularly.  Perhaps as Daylight Savings Time is a recommended time to change out the batteries in your smoke detectors perhaps it should also be the time to check your power cords around the house.

In Search of a Secret Weapon

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You: An articulate, interesting and dynamic real estate agent/broker with a desire and determination to turbo-charge your online marketing activities. You have a wild streak and are willing to consider the day (potentially sooner than later) when nearly all of your business is generated online (a la Ardell)

Me: A ruthless online real estate marketing machine looking for a short-term commitment so that we can walk on stage in San Francisco at Inman’s Bloggers Connect conference as the winners of Project Blogger. 🙂

I happen to know that Ardell already has already chosen her secret weapon… so has Jim. While I have a few people in mind, I figured I’d open it up to the RCG community before I commit to anyone. (While not required, it would be helpful if you’ve either already attended one of my seminars or would be willing to attend the March 30 seminar in Pasadena…)

Note that there are a bunch of rules and guidelines, but we’ll do our best to differentiate ourselves by not following too many! I’m of the opinion that no one wins in marketing (personal, professional or corporate) by following the rules. 😉

Also, there was discussion while developing “the rules” on the appropriate amount of money that a participant could spend promoting themselves. If you team with me, this will be a very cheap endeavor. I need someone willing to commit time not money…

You can apply to take part by leaving a comment below. My recommendation is to read up on the event and then convince me that you are hungry and can commit to focusing your marketing activities to the online environment over the next few months. There WILL be a lot of publicity around this event, so this is not for the timid.

And in all seriousness, expect to have a lot of fun!

The Longest Season Ever – Spring Forward

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 [photopress:season_1.jpg,full,alignright]

How much is the market influenced by the fact that it stays light longer on weekdays? 

We all know it’s true that people tend to look at property more on weekends, unless it gets dark later on weekdays.  We all know the second and third quarters of each year are stronger than the first and last quarters.  But how much does that have to do with it getting dark earlier and staying light later?

Well, this is a good year to test that, as tonight is the beginning of daylight savings time.  For the first time in, I guess my life, we will turn our clocks forward, one hour, tonight, March 11, 2007.

Compare that to April 6 in 2003, April 4, in 2004, April 3 in 2005 and April 2 in 2006, and we are adding about 36 days to the real estate high season.  Will be interesting to see how the March 2007 stats compare to previous years.  I think they will be stronger due to DST being pushed earlier.

Maybe that will transcend into April.  Maybe sellers who would have listed May 1, will be able to spruce up the home’s exterior earlier this year, with a few hours of daylight after work each night, and get their homes listed a couple of weeks earlier than expected.

I’m just happy that the daffodils are in bloom, I see pink trees everywhere, and starting tomorrow…it will get dark later.  One of Seattle’s main claims to fame, is our long, long spring and summer days.  And this year, we will have even more of it!  Enjoy!

Short Sales

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A short sale is when a homeowner in financial distress owes more against the home than what the home is worth, and the homeowner MUST sell.

If the homeowner does not have to sell, or does not want to sell their home, there are MANY options available to homeowners. They could [photopress:shorts_1.jpg,thumb,alignright]move into a more affordable home and rent out their existing home, they could take on a roommate, they could refinance (although this is not always the best path. Homeowners in a short sale situation are often in financial distress, which means higher rates and fees because you’re seen as a higher credit risk to a new lender), they could talk with their existing lenders to re-configure the terms of the loan. Homeowners who do not want to sell or do not have to sell ought to seek out a HUD-approved housing counseling agency that offers default counseling. Why? Because at bare minimum, SOMEONE, in this case our federal government, has deemed the housing counseling agency competent. What a homeowner should not do is to blindly trust that the signs by the side of the road are from reputable folks. In fact, the assumption ought to be that if a deal looks and sounds too good to be true, it is. There are no angels on earth. Homeowners, you can be easily taken advantage of by these folks. Wake up and keep reading.

Selling short means you’re asking the underlying lender(s) to accept less than their payoff in order to facilitate a sale of the home, instead of foreclosing on the home.

Foreclosure is expensive for a mortgage lender. Mortgage lenders are not in the business of foreclosing on houses. Banks and lenders are in business of making loans. They don’t want the house back. This is a business decision for the lender. Which means it has to make rational, logical sense.

Homeowners, you will be asked to prove financial distress. This means you will have to submit proof that you don’t have the money to make up the shortage. If you do have the money, this is no longer a short sale, the industry calls this a “seller to bring cash in at closing” sale. If you ask your real estate agent to help you in hiding assets, an agent cannot assist you with defrauding a lender.

[photopress:bartangel.jpg,thumb,alignleft]If an “angel” investor offers to ‘take over the payments’ and lets you pay rent until you’re back on your feet, and then asks you to sign a quit claim deed, transfering title to the investor, stop everything and go get some legal advice immediately. You might be thinking: I’m in financial distress; how can I afford legal advice? Contact your local bar association for a referral to free legal aid. A quit claim deed transfers interest but not liability. This means you are still liable to make sure the mortgage is paid, and further, transfering yourself out of title means your lender might decide to call your note due and payable. There are many foreclosure rescue scams to be careful of. If the rent is set too high, thus not allowing you to really get caught up at all, this has a name: equity skimming. Go see an attorney.

Homeowners, you will be asked to pay back the shortage. That’s right, your lender will ask you to sign a brand new unsecured note in order for you to pay back the difference in monthly installments. If, out of the goodness of their heart, (don’t count on it) the lender “forgives” the debt, then the IRS sees this as a taxable event. Homeowners: Go see your favorite tax attorney or CPA for tax advice if you are in a short sale scenario.

Homeowners, the worst mistake you can make is to go into denial and stay in your “happy place” and not make those hard decisions. Let’s review. The best steps you can take are preventative. When you see yourself getting close to needing to sell in order to avoid foreclosure:

1) Decide if you absolutely must sell or if you’re better off riding out the financial tough road. If there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, and you don’t want to sell, perhaps you’re better off not selling.

2) Talk to a HUD-approved housing counseling agency that offers “default” counseling.

3) Don’t ignore letters or calls from your lenders. I recommend renting and watching the movie “House of Sand and Fog” to wake you up from your state of denial. Talk to your lender.

4) If you’re committed to selling, interview three licensed real estate agents. If one of them offers to purchase the house right there in your living room…..ask the agent if that’s ethical and legal and see what they say. Real estate agents have an obligation to put YOUR interests ahead of their own interests. State agency laws vary, but this is a core concept of agency.

5) Always seek legal counsel if you are a short sale homeowner. There are things attorneys can do that real estate agents cannot do.

Real estate agents: The best steps you can take are to educate yourself about how to present your firm offer to the underlying lien holder(s). In a short sale, title is transferred using a warranty deed (in some states it is called a different sort of deed like a bargain and sale deed) which means title must be clear of all liens and encumbrances (except for items that will run with the land like easements, real estate taxes, and the like.) This means you might have to present the firm offer to more than one lien holder. Example:

Sale price: 300,000
First mortgage payoff: 250,000
Second mortgage payoff: 100,000
Real estate agents: In the above example, if you’re trying to work with the first mortgage lender and they’re not giving you the time of day, it’s because they are expecting to get all $250K because they’re in first lien postion. Your work will be with the second lien holder, who has much to lose should the first foreclose and everything to gain by negotiating with you NOW, before foreclosure.

Real estate agents, check your local Multiple Listing Service (MLS) policies and procedures about disclosing the “short sale” terms to the other members of your MLS.

Real estate agents, the lender(s) will ALWAYS ask you to cut your commission. Always, always, always. It is their duty to mitigate losses. That means asking everyone to cut their fees. Don’t take it personally. So, should you cut your commission? These transactions are difficult, time consuming, gut-wrenching, and ulcer-inducing. Why on earth would you accept a low fee? When asked to slice your fee to the bone, say “no.” The lender needs you more than you need them; the lender does not want to foreclose.

Sometimes real estate agents tell me they wouldn’t touch one of these deals because of the increased liability and the hard work. To that I ask, “Well, what if you were the one who sold them the house?” Then the room usually falls silent.

Real estate agents should always ask the homeowner this simple question: “What are your plans for housing once the home sells?” If the homeowner is in financial distress, often their plans including moving in with relatives. If not, you may wish to connect the homeowner with social services sooner rather than later.

Calling All Patches Pals

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Tomorrow is a VERY BIG DAY for all Patches Pals.   If you grew up in the Seattle area, you must know JP Patches, the one and only Mayor of the City Dump.   Beginning at 10:00 a.m. at the Red Door Ale House in Fremont, JP and friends (including Gertrude) will be present for the unveiling of the scale model of the statue that will be built to honor this local treasure.   Last year, JP was featured in an article in the Seattle Times about why this clown deserves such recognition.

Yes.  I’m a bona fide Patches Pal.  We actually had JP hired to perform our marriage ceremony at our home last April 1, 2006.   But when our small wedding began to to turn into a circus, pun intended, we decided to elope…so no JP nuptials.

A few fellow Patches Pals at the Northwest Academy of Television Arts and Science have been raising money to build this statue.  At tomorrows event, you will have the opportunity to purchase “Patches Pavers” that will surround the statue by dropping your donation into the ICU2TV.   Any moneys raised beyond the building of the statue will be donated to Childrens Hospital.  

I wouldn’t miss this for the world…I hope to see you there!

ARDELL on "Where is the 2007 Market heading?"

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My prediction has been, that the 2007 Market will be similar to the market of 2006, that being strong and upwardly mobile.  Not necessarily as strong as 2005, when interest rates were lower, but on an even keel with, or better than, last year.

To determine momentum of the market, I look at absorption issues, and reduce the study to a somewhat predictable and mainstream market segment.  To keep apples to apples, I target that portion of the market with the highest number of sales in a year’s time.  The results are almost startling, with regard to upward momentum since the first of the year, and even better than I expected to see. 

Where “in escrow”, which is both STI and Pending, is much higher than “for sale” and/or closed in January 07, the forward momentum of the market is strongest.

Seattle has too many new properties not reflected in the stats (i.e.”1 of 8 townhomes”), as does high end.  I am using the market segment I find is best for prediction purposes using the MLS, that being Redmond (98052 only), Bellevue, Kirkland and Bothell (98011 only).  I am also using “up to $650,000” as that is the segment with the most properties changing hands in a year’s time, based on the stats I did on a running basis last year.

I also use this market segment because I can readily visualise the properties involved, and so my conclusions are more valid than areas like Tacoma or Snohomish or even all of King County.  The segment I use, accounts for both strongest and weaker markets and “residential” vs. condo.

98052 – Redmond – 37 residential for sale, 40 in escrow and 18 closed in Jan. 07; 44 condos for sale, 69 in escrow and 19 closed in Jan. 07.

98011 – Bothell – 40 residential for sale, 37 in escrow and 18 closed in Jan. 07; 15 condos for sale, 28 in escrow and 15 closed in Jan. 07

98034 –  Kirkland – 35 residential for sale, 29 in escrow and 27 closed in Jan. 07; 32 condos for sale, 37 in escrow and 25 closed in Jan. 07

98033 – Kirkland “proper” – 23 residential for sale, 15 in escrow and 19 closed in Jan. 06; 50 condos for sale, 62 in escrow and 21 closed in Jan. 07

98004 – Bellevue – 4 residential for sale, 2 in escrow and 1 closed in Jan. 07; 27 condos for sale, 21 in escrow and 8 closed in Jan. 07

98005 – Bellevue – 5 residential for sale, 4 in escrow and 2 closed in Jan. 07; 14 residential for sale, 40 in escrow and 8 closed in Jan. 07.

98006 – Bellevue – 17 residential for sale, 13 in escrow and 9 closed in Jan. 07; 20 condos for sale, 14 in escrow and 6 closed in Jan. 07

98007 – Bellevue – 5 residential for sale, 9 in escrow and 5 closed in Jan. 07; 6 condos for sale, 12 in escrow and 16 closed in Jan. 07

98008 – Bellevue – 18 residential for sale, 20 in escrow and 11 closed in Jan. 07; 1 condo for sale, 4 in escrow and 4 closed in Jan. 07

98005 is a bit skewed, as Woodbridge and Oasis are long escrows, so 40 in escrow is not reflective of a less than 30 day market activity.  New construction in escrow will always throw off momentum stats.  That is why I don’t do the high end this way when I am looking for “people’s recent decision to purchase” forward momentum.  There is some of that in others, but not as much as in 98005.

I also break it down this way, so people can see where they might most likely find a single family home priced under $650,000, or where they might most likely find a condo at an entry level price.  The highest numbers will equal the highest ongoing availability, or whether you are looking “for a needle in a haystack” in that area.

2007?  If you list it, price it well, it looks good and is priced under $650,000…it WILL sell.

Is Seattle Bubble Proof?

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Best I can tell so far, the answer to that question is a resounding YES, Seattle IS bubble proof, at least in the $300,000 and under market.

I am totally bugeyed, having spent the last 10 hours slicing, dicing and dissecting every single stat in the $300,000 and under market, in $100,000 increments, for 2005 and 2006 year to date on a month by month basis.

While we are seeing a teensy weensy weakness in October vs. August and September prices, the run up from January of 2005 to present has been insane. 72% of families have been squeezed out of the first time buyer market during that time in the $300,000 or under range. So even if we see prices dropping back, we will not soon see the day when the increase will be declared a bubble that is about to burst. In fact a modest correction is well warranted, but I do not see single family homes dropping in price back to where they were in January of 2005 for many, many…if ever…years. So yes, in the single family home market, anything decent in the lowest of price ranges should still be grabbed up. By March of 2007 the opportunity to get any bargains in the entry level single family home markets, will likely be gone for good.

For my neck of the woods, which would be from Green Lake up through Shoreline and beyond, around Lake Washington and into Kirkland and the Eastside, if it’s a single family home priced under $400,000…buy with care…but don’t wait for any of them to ever dip under $300,000 again. I don’t see that happening.

Condo markets in the same price range…entirely different story. I’d stay far away from the one bedroom condo market. the run up there has been as insane as it has been in the single family home market, BUT the one bedrooms are fast converging on the price of a much large two bedroom. So don’t assume you have to buy a one bedroom condo if you are starting out.

So many have overlooked the two bedroom opportunities, that the price growth of the one bedrooms has far exceeded the price growth of the two bedrooms. As fewer people can afford single family homes, more and more are buying condos in the under $300,000 price range. Hold out for the two bedroom units whenever possible, and let the one bedroom condos back off in price a bit. Some one bedroom units are tryng to sell at 79% more than they did 16 months ago! Pass them by. Hold out for a two bedroom, unless the one bedroom is reasonably priced for what and where it is.

I’m too worn out to go further than $300,000 today, but what I’ve written is worth studying. I have every single number broken down by $100,000 increments and split between condo markets and single family markets. I didn’t post them all, but I will keep my sheets of pencil notes for awhile, just in case anyone has any questions.