Sharing the spam – Is Zillow going to China?

[photopress:spam.jpg,full,alignright]I got an interesting piece of investor spam yesterday. This one was so interesting, I figured I share it and give somebody a good laugh or chuckle. Apparently they are talking up a company in China that has “pilfered every costly lesson learned by Rich Barton and pals… plus every breakthrough technology Microsoft gladly spent $100 million to develop their own business with optimized Rich Barton’s billion-dollar baby.”

I had lunch with some of the folks from Zillow today. Even though they know Rich Barton better than I do, they didn’t even know about this opprotunity! They also said, they wanted in on the action… 🙂

Anyway, here’s my spam for your reading enjoyment…

Rich Barton Spam

And if you figure out what exactly they’re talking about, let me know. 😉

10 things I learned from my stats tonight

It’s been a long while since I posted about traffic on RCG. Two reasons come to mind… One, I’ve been swamped in starting my new job and never got around to updating my excel sheet and two, I knew we weren’t seeing much growth, so what’s the point 🙂

However, I took a little time out tonight to play around with RCG stats and I was actually surprised (in a good way!).

First I’ll give two charts and then I’ll explain what I learned from my research. The first chart looks at visitors and the search engines that they are coming from, while the second chart compares the growth in unique visitors to the total visitors to give an idea of how many people are returning to the site on a regular basis…

[photopress:unique_visitors.png,full,centered]

[photopress:visitors_per_month.png,full,centered]

  1. While traffic may not be growing exponentially any more, we’re still gaining new unique visitors at a relatively healthy clip. (If you take out all the Zillow-hype related traffic in February of this year, then the chart would look a lot more like exponential growth! 🙂 )
  2. Google provides a majority of our unique visitors (almost 15K hits last month alone) and far outweighs any other traffic source (it is all organic traffic as I don’t spend any money on AdSense).
  3. MSN and Yahoo still have not figured out how to parse through the glut of Seattle real estate content in order to drive more traffic to RCG! 🙂
  4. The ratio of total visitors to unique visitors has always hovered between 3.0 and 4.0. This tells me a fair number of people continue to return to RCG and it increases as we attract more unique visitors. It also tells me we haven’t found the viral “secret sauce” that causes either a ton of unique visitors (who could care less about a majority of our content) or a super sticky feature that causes new visitors to come back at a higher rate.
  5. 61% are using Internet Explorer, 23% are using Firefox. The rest go using “Unknown” (8%), Safari (4%), and others…
  6. The top 10 search phrases (like [Seattle Real Estate] and [real estate blog] account for a combined 7.2 of all search engine traffic. The other 92.8% of search engine traffic comes from more obscure phrases. (Think Long Tail!)
  7. Traffic is highest around lunch (between 11am and 2pm).
  8. Mondays get hit the hardest while Saturdays are the slowest days on RCG.
  9. Seattle Bubble (404 hits), Ardell (399), and Bloodhound (384) are the three blogs that sent the most traffic to RCG in August!
  10. Google analytics tells me that of all the unique visitors in August, 1,333 had been to RCG more than 200 times!!! (4,710 unique visitors have been to the site over 25 times).

Negotiating the Buyer Agent Fee

[photopress:swan.gif,thumb,alignright] Greg Swann over at Bloodhoundblog wrote a lengthy piece on his feelings with regard to changes that are needed in the real estate industry.

I happen to be writing an offer as I write this, actually waiting for a buyer client to come over and sign it, who was the first client with whom I negotiated the fee at first contact over coffee. That is not my normal scenario of negotiating the buyer agent fee, as I generally like to see at least three homes, of my choice, with the buyer before having the discussion regarding commissions.

I like to see how they look at property, what types of things bother them, how many and what kinds of questions they ask, etc… Just as I need to see a house before I know what I would charge the seller, I have to have some idea of the level of difficulty involved with the buyer attaining his objectives, before I can establish a reliable fee base.

So while I do not totally agree with Greg that a buyer should, or even can, negotiate a fee before seeing any homes, his article is well worth reading. I plan to read it again more thoroughly after this contract is signed 🙂

I will mention, that this particular client and I renogotiated the intital fee we came up with over coffee. So breaking my rule of not looking at houses first, was not a good thing. Having some experience with the agent and vice versa, is the best way to establish a fee that will work for all involved.

When is it appropriate to use environmentalism to stop developments?

Editor’s note: Today, I’d like to welcome Jon Ribary as the newest contributor to RCG. With one of our other contributors, Eileen, he owns LTD Properties in Seattle. When I first started blogging, Jon was an early follower of RCG and began developing an online mapping tool around the first time I started gHomes. Jon’s take on real estate is from a slightly different perspective in that, first and foremost, he is a developer of land as oppose to an agent. In a constant effort to explore new areas of real estate, I look forward to seeing where Jon takes us!

A recent article from the Snohomish County’s Herald Newspaper got me thinking about the fine line between “preserving the environment” and NIMBYism (Not in my back yard!). I find that rather than really caring about preserving the environment, people use environmentalism as a hammer to slow down or stop projects that will “ruin” their view or preserve some favorite local property from being developed.

In the case of the Lake Stickney, the county says that the proposed development meets all applicable environmental laws, and yet one local, Chris Lloyd says “This is all about salmon habitat.” I’m not convinced.

To bring it to a personal level, if the house I live in has a sweeping view of the sound. Between me and my view was a 1940s rambler that just sold. The buyer, a builder who is planning to demo the house to build a 3 story home that would block my view. Do I have a right to stop that development, just to save my view, or is it an individual’s (or company’s) right to do what they wish on the property as long as they are abiding by development standards? If I wanted to keep the property from being developed, is my only right to buy the property to ensure it is not changed (or negotiate a view easement)?

If environmentalist’s #1 goal is to make sure projects are being developed properly, then I am on board. With land use and building codes where they are today, my past experiences tells me the proper precautions are being taken. If the opposition are anti-development and are using this tactic as a way to slow down or trump the development of the land, then I think environmentalism is simply being used as a ‘Trojan Horse’ to stop developments…

EAL vs. ESL

[photopress:it.jpg,thumb,alignright] This comes under the category of “You learn something new every day.” Over the years I have found that I generally have a much higher percentage of clients who moved here from other countries, or whose parents moved here from other countries, than some of my peers. I was at a client’s house over the weekend (helping to strip wallpaper, which I am very good at doing) and everyone at the house was speaking both English and Romanian, except me of course 🙂

One of the guests taught me a new term, that was more politically correct, and I was at once converted! I asked if ESL, English Second Language, was an appropriate term or offensive in any way. My sister had taught me ESL, since she has a fairly high percentage of students that are ESL the same as I have a fairly high percentage in my field. Prior to that I was using “The English is not my first language crowd”, so ESL was definitely an upgrade.

A lovely young lady advised that her husband preferred EAL, and that it was more politically correct. Of course! How American of me to suggest that English was someone’s SECOND language, when in fact, it could be their FIFTH language. My friends from Bulgaria speak at least six languages. So EAL, English ADDITIONAL Language, is clearly more appropriate for most people from other countries.

I am a 2nd generation American, which may be the reason why I have a high percentage of clients that are Indian, Filipino, Romanian, Italian, Korean, Chinese, and others over the years. Not because I speak their language, which I do not, but because I understand that different cultures have different ideas with regard to home ownership.

I remember back to 1990, my very first year in the business. I had a client who was a young man from Russia. It was apparent to me, though he did not come right out and say it, that he didn’t have an accurate perception of what was included in the sale, and what was not included. Now many of my clients have some questions in that regard, but for this client the entire idea of owning a property was somewhat “foreign” to him.

I literally walked around and touched practically every item. He was in fact quite pleased to learn that the kitchen cabinets would be staying as well as the stove. He was a little confused about why the wall to wall carpeting was going to stay, but the area rug would not be there after the owner moved out. And when it came down to the mirror in the living room leaving because it was hanging like a picture, but the “mirror” in the bathroom WAS staying because it was a recessed, built-in, medicine cabinet, he just shook his head and took my word for it 🙂

This brings up a point that a recent commenter raised. He said he sometimes has to read my writings twice to “get” what I am talking about. In almost every real estate transaction a client has to trust that the agent is correct, rather than totally understand everything involved in the transaction. For persons who speak English as an additional language, who have not been involved in home ownership issues for most of their lives, being able to trust the judgment of the agent is even more important than almost anything else. Trust becomes the all important factor in the relationship.

Even if they do not understand all of the details and the “whys”, if they trust the person at the helm, life becomes a whole lot easier for them. Being able to focus primarily on which home they want, as opposed to each and every detail of the process, can be quite a relief for anyone, but especially for EAL clients.

Seattle Beaches Offer Unique Views

Today’s theme? Fun with real estate!

  1. Marlow provides a list of entertaining stories about hijacks (along with some good-natured teasing about the high PubSub ranking or her PI blog!)…
  2. Glenn thinks that we should change the title of Seattle Eric’s post because we’re not being fair. “The original post should be corrected out of fairness to make it clear that we use the same feed as every other Internet site…” Considering his praying mantis reference (and his defense of the reference), his comment makes today’s list because it gave me the best laugh of the day.
  3. Realtor.com, Jan 1997: “If you’re ready to find a home, browse through more than 517,000 homes presented by 112 participating REALTOR® Multiple Listing Services in 41 States.” (Lots more early corporate websites…)
  4. I had a blast at MindCamp2.0 and am thinking of flying up for 3.0.
  5. Is there room for two dog-related real estate blogs?
  6. Glenn Roberts points us to a great story about the Yes Men. These guys convinced conference organizers that they were legitimate HUD officials who wanted to make an announcement about the future of New Orleans’ public housing. Following a speech by Gov. Kathleen Blanco and Mayor Ray Nagin, the HUD official announced a complete reversal of policy. Ali G would be proud.
  7. Promoting a real estate blog is tough stuff. Luckily Hanan is constantly throwing ideas our way… (includes an informative link on why no one is reading your blog!)
  8. Seattle beaches make the news! It’s not news, it’s fark!
  9. A great sense of humor make Maureen’s blog a lot of fun to read… (Her subtitle being a great example: “This is not the best blog in Columbus Ohio! This is a blog about what is best in Columbus…”). Her latest article letting us know that Columbus, Ohio is rainier than Seattle is much appreciated!
  10. Made me think of of the insufferable bastard:

[photopress:gravestone555.jpg,full,centered]

Redfin is missing 20% of Listings?

I’ve heard a rumor, and I can’t figure out how to verify this using custom searches on Locator, but is it true that 20% of residential properties don’t appear on the MLS feeds to the Redfins and Homevalues of the world (as well as Windermere, John L. Scott, etc.). I was told that a good 1 out of 5 properties don’t have that checkbox selected that gives the MLS permission to ‘advertise on the public web’. First off, I’m surprised that so many agents would bypass the exposure; however, if they are doing it either making individual decisions, or by encouragement from their brokers, the net effect is chilling on the disintermediation plays. Consumers searching for properties using these discounters (or any of the major brokerages web sites), and not having the services of an agent to find the best properties using Locator, are shortchanging themselves.

Can anyone confirm or otherwise clarify this information? If true, it’s a dirty little secret.

Truth or Great PR

As I was doing my normal Sunday online reading, I found this NY Times article about discount commissions that really was a featurette for Redin. In the article, there are anecdotal comments about seller’s agents not being willing to show Redfin buyers their listing. There is also a quote from our own Marlow Harris of 360Digest.com alluding to the possibility that these stories may be more PR than truth (my words, not Marlow’s). A Windermere agent is quoted as saying that such claims are “absolute absurdity.”

So I have a couple of questions. First, are there a significant number of listing agents out there that will look down on buyers who use non-traditional brokerages (even to the degree of making themselves unavailable to show the home) or is this just great PR spin? If there is any truth in the claims, I presume that these uncooperative agents take this stance because they don’t feel like they are paid to fill the traditional role of the selling agent (e.g. showing the home). If that’s the case, then why don’t these listing agents incorporate a variable rate commission (similar to the strategy builders have used for some time to address the selling agent who magically appears after the site agent has done all the work of “selling” the buyer on the new home)? NWMLS rules would allow it, so why is it not being done?

Simplifying the buying process

5 years ago on a plane to Hawaii I started writing a Buyer Book to help me when working with my buyers. I couldn’t find a good one that made sense of our local market and spelled out what needs to be answered before a buyer even starts looking. I have a development partner in Hawaii and have good memories of writing this book, sipping Kona coffee from his sister’s plantation and eating Orange Bread on his incredible water view patio. Unfortunately, I had to come home and it took me three more months to finish in the rain.

Why did I write the book? Because I wanted buying a house to be fun and as simple as possible and buyers hate seeing houses they don’t really like. After all, how do you decide where to live and what to buy, if you’ve never been asked the questions that would get you a good working answer. So, after 10 years as an agent and starting out like all agents do by picking out 30 houses or so that “might” work for the buyer, narrowing it down to what I considered the best 10, showing those, making a buying decision and then the “buyer’s remorse” because they wondered what else was out there.

Given that I’m mostly an analytical person, I looked for the “kiss” in the purchasing process and came up with what has been unfailingly the most basic questions that must be examined before you even get into a car with a buyer. So here’s how I work: the buyers read the book and agree to independently (partners separately) fill out a questionaire that tracks with the book before the first 2 hour consulting session which is usually on the morning before going out to buy a home. Those 7 anwers are what I springboard from in the search. I have a picnic lunch prepared and we are now looking at only homes that really do meet their requirments. No buyer’s remorse since they’ve narrowed down the search themselves. The know that if they see a sign on a home that they didn’t look at, that it simply did not meet their requirements. These buyers are also prequalified and we know their housing price limit before our meeting.

People buy with the following criteria, whether they know it or not and buyers can use this criteria to find their home: (not necessarily in this order)

1. What importance is their choice of schools (I once had a young couple, he said it wasn’t important, she said it was, and she announced at the buyer consult that she was pregnant. I left the room :))

2. What importance is the commute: I usually hear 20-45 minutes (unless it’s a microsoft buyer), so then we talk about what hours the commuter works to determine how far out they can live, keeping in mind the school parameters.

3. What importance is a development with CC&R’s vs one without. I explain that although they might not want control on the color they paint their own home, but do they want an airplane parked in the front yard like I saw one day in a Parkland neighborhood near Tacoma. This is an extreme example, I know

4. How important is yard size. These days with all the dogs, many buyers think they ‘need’ a large yard, which leads me to the next question.

5.What importance is the age of the home. Most 30 somethings hate the home they grew up in and they almost always hate the splits. However if you want a large yard, but want a new house, then you’ll probably be paying 3 times what your budget allows, so if the large yard is really really important, then be prepared for 15-20 year old home or older. You have to buy a home where the land was developed before the local jurisdictions started enforcing federally mandated land use restrictions requiring greenbelts or common areas. The result of the federal legislation is that by 1999, all municipalites had to come into complaince with new land use rules. Over a 10 year period, all municipalities had to ensure that all developments must have a very large portion (40-60%) of a development set aside as communtiy area. The latest municipality that I know of to come into compliance was Montlake Terrace, which barely made the 10 year limit. For the developers to make enough profit to make the development feasible, the remaining land had to be divided by the same number of lots, making the lots much much smaller.

I’ve done my own casual research on how the public sees this land use change, and when I ask customers which they’d rather have, large yards or community spaces, they overwhelmingly chose community spaces. So, though we don’t like it, we don’t like it less than we like the new communities with all their parks and community feel (Ergo, the popularity of Issaquah Highlands).

6. The next question is how important is the style. In other words, do you hate splits, do you like to see alot of volume and want a vaulted living room, or does that mean you have to just heat the empty space. Do you have to have a rambler, and depending on budget, are you prepared for townhouse or condo living.

And last but not least

7. Do you want to have a house in complete move in condition or can you do some of the work yourselves after closing.

These 7 questions have been all that I’ve needed to narrow down the search. My buyers fill out the questionaire first before our 2 hour meeting, then armed with those parameters, I have a pretty good idea where the buyers will end up. We pick out thier own houses online and then with a picnic lunch, out we go to preview the properties that they picked. Normally, they buy on this first day, since we have narrowed down their search together and they almost never have buyer’s remorse since they pretty much scoured the enitre market themselves with me just acting as coach.

This has worked great for the last 5 years. My buyers love it and are amazed at how you really can create a structure out of the 6500 or so listings online. AND be right about it!

Labor Day – The "fruits" of our labor

[photopress:labor.jpg,full,alignright] One of my most memorable transactions here in the Seattle Area was assisting a “homeless woman” with the sale of her house. Seems like a contradiciton in terms, I know. There was a woman who walked the streets wheeling a child’s suitcase behind her who “owned” a gutted, burned out house. She had put a For Sale By Owner type sign on it with a phone number, and a local agent had brought her an offer on it by the time I received a call from her asking for assistance. In fact she was seeking the assistance of another agent in the office, who had already asked for my assistance on handling this when the call came in, and it was pure coincidence that I happened to answer the phone when she called.

I cannot go into any more detail because this was a very unique transaction, to say the least. Besides throwing legal papers in sealed envelopes over a chain link fence onto the porch, which at times was my only means of conveying information, there were several meetings in the hot sun on the front steps with those big black carpenter ants crawling all over me. Since the ants crawling on her did not make her flinch, I persevered and mirrored her behavior…no small feat.

Point is, the “fruit of my labor” was my effort, and not “the satisfaction of my ‘client’.” In the end the woman was very unhappy to find that the proceeds belonged to all of the heirs, even though I had told her that at the onset. In the end the woman was very unhappy that an attorney needed to be involved in the distribution of the net proceeds. I charged a nominal fee, and in fact offered to handle it for free initially, but she would take no charity and griped about the nominal fee, both at the same time, which made not much sense. But then not much in this transaction made much sense.

Someone recently asked here what my highest achievements have been. I’d clearly have to put “selling the house of a homeless woman” on that list. I don’t know what she is doing now, but I am hoping she is doing what she said she would do, take the money and buy a little place in Virginia near her son, who was being raised by a relative and going to college there. I picture her there, being cared for by her son and relatives in a little house by a creek with a weeping willow tree. Clearly she was one of my most unhappy clients…and yet somehow, at the same time, one of my “highest achievements”.

Be proud of the fruits of your labor…be proud of your efforts to achieve those fruits, on this Labor Day 2006.